NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	129		Excitement	10.0 [71]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +50.7%
Dallas Mavericks	127		Comeback	399.0 [2]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -40.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.51	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.24	0.29	0.02	19	82%	0.65	6	-0.14	12	75%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13	0.03	0.15	0.04	25	55%	0.36	5	-0.23	8	100%	0.05
Shawn Marion	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.03	11	53%	-0.06	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.07	0.02	20	73%	0.30	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	19	41%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	20	64%	0.41	5	-0.39	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.41	-0.41	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	28	44%	-0.26	3	-0.14	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	28.2	3.7	29.4	19.4	27.3	3.6	38.2	2.5	13.2	2.4	13.5	181.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.4%

PHX +13.0%

DAL -30.1%

PHX +15.6%

DAL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.1	15.4	118.3	117.6	104.5
season	13.8	16.3		112.2	108.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		102.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.7	15.0	15.7	13.7	16.2	15.0
DAL	15.3	18.5	16.3	18.2	17.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	0	2	14.9	15.4	-0.43	17.7	14.7	3.07
Steve Nash	92	91	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	14.9	15.7	-0.80	17.1	16.9	0.21
James Jones	49	48	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.72	-4	6	-10	15.7	14.5	1.17	17.3	16.9	0.39
Raja Bell	99	99	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-2	6	14.8	16.8	-1.95	17.1	16.7	0.42
Shawn Marion	91	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.58	-4	6	-10	15.1	14.7	0.37	16.9	17.8	-0.89
Boris Diaw	36	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.16	4	-2	6	15.7	14.7	1.08	16.6	17.3	-0.65
Leandro Barbosa	69	67	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.17	2	0	2	14.5	15.9	-1.34	17.3	16.7	0.52
Kurt Thomas	25	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	2	-2	15.4	14.9	0.43	14.7	17.7	-3.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	6	6	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.00	9	-11	20	15.5	17.1	-1.65	17.2	14.9	2.26
Josh Howard	75	76	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-5	8	17.4	16.2	1.26	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Devin Harris	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-4	6	14.8	17.4	-2.60	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Austin Croshere	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	15.5	17.5	-1.95	14.8	15.1	-0.30
DeSagana Diop	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	1	-4	18.1	16.7	1.43	16.1	14.6	1.54
Erick Dampier	49	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	0	-2	17.9	16.4	1.54	15.5	14.7	0.81
Dirk Nowitzki	105	107	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-4	6	17.0	19.0	-2.00	14.9	22.5	-7.61
Greg Buckner	49	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	15.9	18.0	-2.12	14.6	15.4	-0.86
Jerry Stackhouse	80	80	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.52	-7	5	-12	17.1	16.9	0.17	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Jason Terry	101	101	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	9	-20	17.3	14.1	3.11	15.1	13.7	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.02,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1	86.7%
CHI 85, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,1	86.6%
MIN 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	86.5%