NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	3.4 [1126]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +12.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.0 [386]		LVP	Brian Cook (LAL): -6.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.24	0.00	0.11	15	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	14	86%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.04	15	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	52%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	22	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	19	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	70%	0.03	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	32.2	16.4	24.3	2.4	33.4	136.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.7%

SAC +12.1%

LAL -4.4%

SAC +17.1%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	15.4	118.4	106.9	104.5
season	14.7	15.3		104.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		107.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	11.8	15.2	16.3	14.3
LAL	14.9	15.7	14.2	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	62	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-11	30	13.3	15.9	-2.65	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Metta World Peace	83	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	14.0	15.5	-1.50	14.6	14.8	-0.18
Mike Bibby	76	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	13.6	16.4	-2.76	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Kevin Martin	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	14.7	12.9	1.75	14.5	15.2	-0.65
Corliss Williamson	43	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	4	0	14.1	14.4	-0.27	14.8	14.6	0.23
Kenny Thomas	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	2	4	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.2	14.9	-0.68
John Salmons	47	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	13	-18	14.6	14.0	0.59	15.2	14.2	0.95
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	16	-24	15.1	13.6	1.45	15.7	13.9	1.70
Francisco Garcia	15	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	11	-14	15.5	14.0	1.50	14.8	14.6	0.18
Ronnie Price	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	11	-14	14.6	14.2	0.32	15.7	14.6	1.09

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	5.3	15.0	-9.63	24.0	14.1	9.94
Shammond Williams	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-15	22	14.2	14.8	-0.58	14.9	14.1	0.86
Kwame Brown	39	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-17	26	15.4	14.2	1.20	15.3	13.6	1.66
Aaron McKie	53	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.36	9	-17	26	14.9	14.5	0.41	14.6	13.9	0.69
Ronny Turiaf	24	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-8	8	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Sasha Vujacic	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.6	14.7	-0.17	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Brian Cook	44	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	3	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Lamar Odom	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	14.9	14.0	0.95	14.7	12.6	2.10
Andrew Bynum	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	9	-26	14.2	15.4	-1.20	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Smush Parker	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	13	-34	15.0	14.4	0.59	13.7	14.9	-1.17
Kobe Bryant	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	6	-20	14.8	13.9	0.95	13.9	16.3	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 117, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%