NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	6.0 [631]		MVP	Maurice Evans (LAL): +20.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	2.5 [152]		LVP	Brian Cook (LAL): -13.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.21	0.05	0.11	12	86%	0.22	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	12	75%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	16	61%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Ime Udoka	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.02	11	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.08	0.06	12	85%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	80%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	0.05	22	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	11	82%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.07	10	73%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	13	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	28.4	16.7	28.5	2.0	38.3	140.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.5%

POR +0.6%

LAL -0.1%

LAL -3.9%

LAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.6	15.4	123.1	118.7	104.5
season	16.7	15.3		103.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	14.4	16.0	12.8	15.0
LAL	17.8	18.4	14.6	16.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	49	49	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-6	16	13.4	16.9	-3.43	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Dan Dickau	37	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-5	14	15.9	14.4	1.49	17.6	15.9	1.74
Zach Randolph	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	6	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.44	16.1	21.2	-5.11
Martell Webster	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-6	16	13.4	15.6	-2.20	19.4	15.7	3.71
Brandon Roy	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.9	-1.18	16.1	18.3	-2.22
Ime Udoka	72	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	10	-16	15.3	13.9	1.37	16.0	18.8	-2.81
Travis Outlaw	11	12	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-2	8	15.2	15.0	0.17	18.0	16.4	1.59
Jarrett Jack	59	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.0	0.05	15.9	17.8	-1.93
Jamaal Magloire	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	2	0	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Joel Przybilla	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	18.9	14.1	4.81	19.4	16.0	3.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	67	68	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.21	13	-17	30	15.5	19.7	-4.20	15.5	13.7	1.73
Brian Cook	46	48	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-12	20	15.8	17.4	-1.60	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Kobe Bryant	77	77	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-14	24	15.7	21.9	-6.19	15.2	14.4	0.80
Ronny Turiaf	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	2	-8	17.7	15.9	1.83	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Andrew Bynum	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	17.1	15.8	1.31	15.7	14.0	1.63
Lamar Odom	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	16.1	19.0	-2.86	15.2	13.9	1.39
Sasha Vujacic	18	16	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	10	-24	19.4	15.9	3.46	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Maurice Evans	57	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	3	-10	16.7	16.5	0.14	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Jordan Farmar	21	21	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.15	-17	13	-30	21.3	15.2	6.13	14.1	15.3	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	93.7%
BOS 99, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.07,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.5%