NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	6.9 [466]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +15.4%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.6 [733]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -11.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	6	73%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	13	69%	0.18	4	-0.12	13	69%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	21	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	17	38%	-0.08	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	9	77%	0.22	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	65%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.14	7	-0.18	7	86%	0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	78%	0.05	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	29.3	17.7	31.1	2.3	34.6	143.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.2%

NYK +20.7%

NYK +2.4%

ORL -14.9%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.4	104.4	111.1	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		103.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.9	15.7	13.3	16.6	15.0
NYK	17.8	19.5	13.4	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.0	0.17	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Bo Outlaw	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-5	4	12.9	16.0	-3.09	15.5	17.7	-2.19
Keith Bogans	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-1	-4	17.5	14.6	2.90	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Carlos Arroyo	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.8	0.51	18.3	16.3	2.07
Pat Garrity	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.0	0.15	16.7	17.1	-0.43
Keyon Dooling	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.07	18.6	15.6	2.93
Hedo Turkoglu	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-6	6	14.5	16.6	-2.08	17.3	15.9	1.40
Grant Hill	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	15.0	15.0	0.07	15.6	18.6	-2.93
Jameer Nelson	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.3	-0.51	16.3	18.3	-2.07
Darko Milicic	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-5	4	16.6	12.6	3.92	18.1	15.3	2.78
Dwight Howard	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.7	17.4	-2.71	16.9	18.0	-1.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	38	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-6	18	18.1	16.2	1.80	16.1	14.2	1.89
Channing Frye	40	37	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-6	18	17.3	16.7	0.61	15.5	14.6	0.94
Eddy Curry	69	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	1	4	18.3	12.6	5.73	15.2	14.2	0.99
Quentin Richardson	63	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-4	14	16.8	17.5	-0.72	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Stephon Marbury	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	2	2	17.3	16.1	1.19	14.9	15.3	-0.38
David Lee	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	10	-14	16.1	19.7	-3.66	15.2	14.5	0.69
Jamal Crawford	73	74	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	10	-14	16.2	20.5	-4.27	14.5	17.2	-2.67
Jerome James	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	7	-8	15.6	17.2	-1.57	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Jared Jeffries	20	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	16.3	17.2	-0.91	13.7	15.4	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	94.0%
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	93.8%
HOU 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%