NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	3.5 [1104]		MVP	David West (NOK): +18.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	114		Comeback	1.0 [1181]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -6.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	18	49%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Junior Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.00	14	79%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.21	0.02	0.08	10	96%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	42%	0.02	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.02
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	1.8	25.8	13.8	23.8	1.8	33.2	130.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +38.5%

MEM -5.2%

NOK +12.0%

NOK +3.4%

NOK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOK	NBA	MEM	NOK	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.4	105.3	118.8	104.5
season	15.1	16.0		105.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.4	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.8	17.8	14.3	12.5	14.3
NOK	14.9	13.5	17.8	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	32	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-25	35	13.4	14.8	-1.38	17.1	15.4	1.76
Alexander Johnson	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-14	13	15.1	13.9	1.16	14.6	16.6	-2.02
Stromile Swift	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-14	13	9.7	14.7	-4.99	16.9	15.9	0.98
Junior Harrington	23	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	12.5	14.9	-2.38	16.5	15.8	0.73
Dahntay Jones	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-11	7	13.6	14.4	-0.88	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Chucky Atkins	42	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-17	19	12.8	15.5	-2.69	17.4	14.7	2.75
Lawrence Roberts	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-4	-7	16.0	13.8	2.28	17.3	15.6	1.69
Hakim Warrick	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-15	15	14.1	14.5	-0.33	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Damon Stoudamire	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	1	-17	15.6	13.0	2.55	15.0	16.8	-1.76
Pau Gasol	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	2	-19	14.5	13.4	1.18	16.0	15.9	0.04
Rudy Gay	62	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	4	-23	14.4	14.1	0.34	16.1	15.8	0.26
Mike Miller	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	6	-27	14.9	12.8	2.14	15.6	16.9	-1.24

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	63	62	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.16	26	-11	37	16.4	15.2	1.26	14.6	13.8	0.77
Devin Brown	54	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-10	35	16.0	16.0	-0.04	14.4	14.2	0.20
Desmond Mason	65	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-5	25	15.9	16.2	-0.32	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Tyson Chandler	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-3	21	16.0	16.0	-0.08	14.4	14.2	0.20
Chris Paul	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-3	21	16.0	16.0	-0.08	14.4	14.2	0.20
Jannero Pargo	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	18	-21	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Hilton Armstrong	28	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	18	-21	16.0	16.0	0.08	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Rasual Butler	31	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.2	15.9	0.32	14.6	14.2	0.36
Cedric Simmons	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	15.7	16.0	-0.32	10.5	14.4	-3.90
Bobby Jackson	41	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	25	-35	15.9	16.0	-0.09	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Linton Johnson	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.27	-13	28	-41	15.1	16.4	-1.28	14.0	14.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 110, MEM 135	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 88, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%