NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	114		Excitement	10.2 [66]		MVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): +108.2%
Denver Nuggets	112		Comeback	115.3 [9]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -39.4%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	1.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,1.08	0.14	0.93	-0.02	14	70%	1.11	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	8	83%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.06	0.05	0.01	17	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.09
Linton Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.32,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.39	-0.15	-0.25	-0.00	23	31%	-0.32	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.16	-0.00	5	85%	0.28	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24	0.24	-0.08	0.27	-0.05	13	32%	0.25	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	21	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	12	58%	0.12	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	16	47%	-0.10	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.07
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.14	0.00	23	49%	-0.10	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	31.2	16.4	25.0	1.8	34.0	1.5	11.4	146.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +31.1%

NOK +11.3%

NOK +1.2%

NOK +5.8%

NOK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	DEN	NBA	NOK	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	109.6	106.7	104.5
season	16.0	14.0		102.8	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOK	15.3	15.4	14.1	14.3	25.5	15.6
DEN	14.1	17.4	12.6	17.0	12.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	87	88	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.54	10	-8	18	15.6	15.4	0.27	14.5	16.8	-2.35
Devin Brown	67	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-5	12	15.5	15.7	-0.20	15.2	14.2	1.01
Chris Paul	80	80	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.61	5	-3	8	15.4	16.2	-0.87	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Desmond Mason	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.58	3	-1	4	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.8	15.0	-0.25
David West	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.51	-5	7	-12	15.9	15.0	0.89	16.0	12.6	3.34
Marc Jackson	3	3	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-2	6	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.3	14.9	-0.54
Hilton Armstrong	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.39	17.3	14.6	2.71
Linton Johnson	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	18.2	15.4	2.90	11.1	15.2	-4.04
Bobby Jackson	41	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.18	2	0	2	15.7	15.5	0.26	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Cedric Simmons	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.8	-1.20	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Rasual Butler	47	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.18	1	1	0	15.2	15.9	-0.74	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Jannero Pargo	20	21	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.12	-11	13	-24	16.3	15.4	0.90	16.3	14.5	1.85

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	35	33	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.20	8	-10	18	14.9	14.8	0.09	15.4	15.7	-0.31
J.R. Smith	38	38	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-6	10	15.4	14.6	0.80	15.7	15.5	0.17
Reggie Evans	51	51	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.18	0	-2	2	14.8	14.9	-0.07	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Nene	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	5	-7	12	14.6	15.4	-0.86	15.8	15.1	0.71
Allen Iverson	98	97	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.68	15.4	18.3	-2.90
Steve Blake	78	78	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.57	-5	3	-8	14.5	15.9	-1.39	15.7	15.2	0.51
Eduardo Najera	74	72	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.53	-10	8	-18	15.4	13.7	1.67	15.6	15.6	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	80	80	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.57	-9	7	-16	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.5	15.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.59,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.41,0	89.5%
POR 118, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.9,0.95,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.45,0.15,0	89.5%
MEM 100, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.02,0.08,0	89.3%