NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	7.6 [336]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +43.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	2.1 [691]		LVP	Ime Udoka (POR): -26.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.43	0.14	0.30	0.01	22	62%	0.48	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.10
Chris Duhon	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.3	0.10	0.19	-0.00	8	68%	0.30	0	0.00	6	83%	0.09
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.01	10	54%	0.15	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.08
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.11	0.02	-0.15	-0.01	13	63%	0.01	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.19	0.02	9	76%	0.30	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.07
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.01	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.09	-0.02	23	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.06
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	26.3	15.7	23.0	2.4	40.5	135.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.8%

CHI +37.4%

POR -6.2%

CHI +4.2%

POR -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	15.4	94.6	94.5	104.5
season	14.5	16.7		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		108.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	14.4	17.0	12.3	14.5
POR	16.6	16.9	18.1	15.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	61	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	15.0	13.6	1.44	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	14.1	16.9	-2.86	16.8	16.7	0.14
Chris Duhon	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-5	12	14.4	14.8	-0.45	16.7	17.0	-0.35
Malik Allen	30	29	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-18	38	14.2	14.7	-0.55	18.3	16.1	2.23
Luol Deng	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.2	17.9	-1.67
Tyrus Thomas	10	10	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-7	16	11.8	14.9	-3.07	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Ben Gordon	79	75	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.45	-9	11	-20	14.4	15.5	-1.13	16.6	17.9	-1.31
Andres Nocioni	44	43	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	14.4	14.7	-0.33	17.3	16.4	0.92
Adrian Griffin	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	17.6	14.2	3.43	18.5	16.6	1.92
P.J. Brown	37	36	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.21	-22	24	-46	16.5	13.3	3.19	16.6	16.9	-0.30

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	31	33	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.19	18	-20	38	16.5	16.9	-0.37	17.5	12.9	4.52
Ime Udoka	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-15	28	16.3	17.4	-1.13	15.9	13.0	2.86
Zach Randolph	80	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-10	18	16.7	17.3	-0.55	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Martell Webster	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	16.2	17.0	-0.81	13.0	15.3	-2.31
Travis Outlaw	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	7	-16	16.6	16.8	-0.26	11.4	14.9	-3.42
Jarrett Jack	78	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-7	12	16.3	19.8	-3.56	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Jamaal Magloire	13	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	10	-22	18.3	16.5	1.77	16.4	14.2	2.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	45	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	14	-30	18.0	15.6	2.35	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Brandon Roy	63	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	2	-6	16.7	17.1	-0.46	15.2	12.8	2.43
Juan Dixon	57	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	7	-16	17.4	15.9	1.50	12.9	17.3	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, NJN 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.08,0	91.4%
UTA 108, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.58,0	90.6%
GSW 85, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	90.5%