NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	6.2 [576]		MVP	David West (NOK): +19.7%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	103		Comeback	1.3 [950]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	22	43%	0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.05	-0.05	14	62%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	62%	0.08	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.3	15.7	28.2	1.7	31.0	130.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +26.2%

NOK +11.0%

NOK +3.0%

NOK +10.2%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOK	NBA	POR	NOK	NBA
this game	18.1	16.6	15.4	111.0	122.6	104.5
season	16.7	16.0		103.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.7	17.3	17.6	18.9	18.1
NOK	15.6	19.6	14.5	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	12	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	19.3	17.9	1.42	17.6	16.4	1.21
Jarrett Jack	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-10	8	17.7	18.7	-1.01	16.1	17.2	-1.04
Joel Przybilla	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-8	4	19.4	17.4	2.03	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Jamaal Magloire	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-10	8	18.6	17.7	0.80	17.2	16.1	1.04
Ime Udoka	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-8	4	17.8	19.0	-1.28	16.3	17.4	-1.15
Brandon Roy	63	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-7	2	17.5	20.3	-2.86	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Martell Webster	23	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	19.0	17.8	1.28	17.4	16.3	1.15
Sergio Rodriguez	32	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	18.9	17.6	1.23	17.6	15.9	1.77
Zach Randolph	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	17.5	21.7	-4.15	16.0	19.8	-3.85
Juan Dixon	37	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	2	-16	18.4	17.9	0.52	17.1	16.2	0.88

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	3	6	16.9	15.6	1.32	18.2	17.7	0.46
Jannero Pargo	32	31	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	1	10	18.1	15.7	2.47	19.0	17.6	1.46
Desmond Mason	60	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	0	12	16.2	17.7	-1.50	17.0	20.8	-3.83
Rasual Butler	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	6	0	17.8	14.0	3.81	18.9	16.2	2.76
Linton Johnson	27	26	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	16.7	16.5	0.21	20.5	17.0	3.54
Bobby Jackson	53	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	15.9	17.8	-1.92	18.3	17.9	0.40
David West	69	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	16.1	18.8	-2.68	17.4	21.5	-4.18
Devin Brown	55	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	9	-6	15.8	18.1	-2.30	17.5	19.3	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 84, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
ATL 82, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%