NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	4.5 [918]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +21.3%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	2.0 [839]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -12.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	3	64%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	78%	0.13	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.05	-0.04	0.10	19	49%	-0.09	0	0.00	15	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	9	86%	0.26	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	13	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	0.03	11	36%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.2	15.4	24.5	2.4	28.6	125.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.1%

IND +16.2%

IND +1.3%

TOR -1.9%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.4	93.3	113.3	104.5
season	15.2	15.3		104.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	17.4	16.4	14.4	15.6
IND	15.8	15.4	14.2	20.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	13.5	15.7	-2.16	20.3	16.3	4.08
Pape Sow	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	13.5	15.7	-2.16	19.0	16.3	2.67
Darrick Martin	12	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-10	2	16.4	15.5	0.93	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Rasho Nesterovic	36	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-12	6	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.6	17.5	-2.85
Fred Jones	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-8	-2	14.4	16.0	-1.56	20.6	15.1	5.46
Morris Peterson	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-9	0	15.7	15.6	0.11	16.8	16.2	0.59
Joey Graham	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-4	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.72	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Jorge Garbajosa	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-13	8	15.2	16.2	-0.97	17.0	15.5	1.48
Andrea Bargnani	42	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-10	2	16.9	14.5	2.34	15.1	17.4	-2.28
Anthony Parker	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-13	8	15.6	15.5	0.11	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Chris Bosh	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-11	4	15.8	14.4	1.43	16.2	17.3	-1.09
Jose Calderon	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-8	-2	15.5	16.4	-0.93	16.7	14.8	1.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	37	39	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	2	14	17.1	15.9	1.18	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Marquis Daniels	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	7	4	17.8	15.2	2.65	15.8	15.4	0.37
Darrell Armstrong	30	32	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	6	6	17.3	15.9	1.32	16.3	15.2	1.04
Danny Granger	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	6	6	14.7	20.7	-5.94	15.8	15.2	0.55
Jermaine O'Neal	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	13	-8	16.3	16.7	-0.35	15.6	15.6	0.06
Troy Murphy	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	13	-8	16.1	16.9	-0.72	15.9	15.1	0.78
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	8	2	16.6	16.0	0.57	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Jamaal Tinsley	58	56	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	16	-14	15.8	17.4	-1.53	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Shawne Williams	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	13	-8	19.2	15.9	3.32	16.5	15.5	0.99
Ike Diogu	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	12	-6	15.6	16.5	-0.88	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Maceo Baston	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	19.0	16.3	2.67	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Orien Greene	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	14	-10	19.0	16.3	2.67	13.5	15.7	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHA 65, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
WAS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%