inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 96 Excitement3.4 [1119] MVPJamal Crawford (NYK): +33.0%
New York Knicks 116 Comeback1.8 [379] LVPNate Robinson (NYK): -6.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.030,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01658%0.041-0.01743%-0.04
Jason Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01667%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.11-0.010.092257%0.073-0.062181%0.02
Michael Doleac0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Earl Barron0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.00
Chris Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011146%-0.0110.002100%0.00
James Posey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.0210%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.000.06967%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Gary Payton-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01233%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00250%0.003-0.0600%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.400.030.113081%0.393-0.064100%0.01
Channing Frye0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.031167%0.0700.002100%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.00475%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03667%0.0310.00367%-0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01469%0.063-0.03887%0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01847%0.041-0.02367%-0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mardy Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00646%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.831.817.527.42.425.3131.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +49.4%
MIA -2.7%
NYK +5.1%
MIA -1.5%
MIA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game14.516.015.4101.1123.4104.5
season16.015.7102.4103.7
opponent15.415.6106.7104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.115.113.214.314.5
NYK15.513.718.117.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal30290.00-0.500.500.09-3-171415.713.91.8715.216.4-1.19
Earl Barron1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-232612.514.7-2.2315.516.1-0.57
Chris Quinn1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-242813.514.7-1.2016.915.81.13
Dorell Wright2828-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-181613.015.0-2.0117.215.51.73
James Posey3332-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-191813.115.2-2.0916.715.70.99
Jason Williams4443-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-151012.815.9-3.0916.515.60.84
Udonis Haslem6161-0.14-0.360.230.10-8-12414.514.40.1616.714.81.92
Dwyane Wade6868-0.40-0.10-0.310.15-19-1-1814.813.61.2516.315.31.05
Michael Doleac3838-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-15-5-1014.714.30.3415.416.4-0.98
Jason Kapono5757-0.42-0.08-0.350.10-18-2-1615.213.41.8115.317.2-1.86
Antoine Walker4038-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.06-13-7-614.614.40.2116.116.00.12
Gary Payton4745-0.48-0.02-0.450.20-233-2616.112.83.2714.717.3-2.58

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Lee58600.54-0.040.59-0.2828-83615.916.2-0.3114.015.3-1.27
Jamal Crawford76780.54-0.040.59-0.2527-73416.115.60.5214.812.82.06
Stephon Marbury59590.430.070.35-0.041641215.417.0-1.5914.913.71.27
Channing Frye69710.350.150.20-0.181821616.514.61.9015.212.42.78
Nate Robinson47470.300.200.09-0.141551016.016.1-0.1513.215.7-2.50
Renaldo Balkman27290.200.30-0.100.02614-815.516.2-0.7214.314.5-0.20
Jared Jeffries31310.160.34-0.19-0.11911-216.615.70.8712.215.5-3.35
Quentin Richardson28270.030.47-0.440.06-121-2215.816.1-0.3016.813.53.25
Kelvin Cato14130.000.50-0.500.15-525-3016.416.00.3813.014.7-1.68
Malik Rose14130.000.50-0.500.15-525-3016.416.00.3813.014.7-1.68
Mardy Collins14130.000.50-0.500.15-525-3016.416.00.3813.014.7-1.68
Jerome James3334-0.040.54-0.580.05-323-2615.816.2-0.4215.913.72.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 90, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
PHI 102, DAL 1220.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
UTA 83, PHI 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%