inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement3.4 [1131] MVPSmush Parker (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 123 Comeback1.1 [1119] LVPAllen Iverson (DEN): -6.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.16-0.010.031480%0.152-0.032100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02762%0.052-0.022100%0.01
Nene0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011258%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Julius Hodge0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.002100%0.01
Yakhouba Diawara0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.01-0.021343%0.0200.00450%-0.01
Jamal Sampson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06050%0.003-0.00250%-0.01
DerMarr Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.031639%-0.011-0.014100%0.02
Eduardo Najera-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02617%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Allen Iverson-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.041738%-0.033-0.04875%-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Smush Parker0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.160.00-0.021477%0.181-0.002100%0.01
Andrew Bynum0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.010.03986%0.151-0.03475%0.02
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.011275%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02575%0.0600.002100%0.01
Brian Cook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.041073%0.061-0.012100%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.071264%0.0400.001100%-0.00
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05740%-0.012-0.00633%-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.07917%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06720%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.05936%0.013-0.05475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.428.415.029.52.023.2123.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +36.0%
LAL +3.9%
LAL +7.4%
LAL +2.8%
DEN -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game13.814.315.4103.0118.3104.5
season14.015.3105.8106.3
opponent14.915.3107.3104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.913.115.114.213.8
LAL11.916.212.717.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza48480.02-0.520.55-0.3914-334712.614.8-2.2417.111.95.19
Jamal Sampson10100.00-0.500.50-0.155-242913.813.80.0215.114.20.88
DerMarr Johnson10100.00-0.500.50-0.155-242913.813.80.0215.114.20.88
Nene3839-0.03-0.470.440.15-6-13713.214.2-1.0012.815.2-2.38
Reggie Evans3841-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-202112.114.8-2.6916.812.74.12
Earl Boykins7071-0.20-0.300.090.03-8-11312.915.7-2.7315.411.93.47
Julius Hodge4042-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-190-1916.012.33.7512.415.6-3.23
Eduardo Najera4243-0.37-0.13-0.250.07-15-4-1114.413.41.0313.614.8-1.16
Yakhouba Diawara6669-0.46-0.04-0.430.03-17-2-1514.013.40.5813.815.3-1.52
Allen Iverson7982-0.48-0.02-0.470.31-278-3513.913.30.6513.118.7-5.55
Marcus Camby6465-0.560.06-0.620.26-289-3714.712.12.6413.815.1-1.27

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cook52510.420.080.34-0.2824-52912.416.2-3.7315.312.33.01
Luke Walton57570.420.080.33-0.2021-22313.015.9-2.8914.812.42.39
Smush Parker69670.400.100.29-0.1920-12112.218.4-6.1713.714.0-0.37
Kobe Bryant62610.380.120.26-0.181901912.517.0-4.4414.313.01.34
Andrew Bynum64630.340.160.190.08910-112.716.9-4.1714.213.11.17
Sasha Vujacic28260.200.30-0.11-0.10109116.013.72.2713.413.9-0.48
Ronny Turiaf40380.160.34-0.19-0.14109116.912.74.1713.114.2-1.17
Maurice Evans46430.120.38-0.250.15-120-2116.612.54.1613.014.4-1.44
Vladimir Radmanovic49470.030.47-0.430.24-726-3316.712.24.5512.315.1-2.74
Jordan Farmar30290.030.47-0.43-0.05316-1318.612.65.9912.414.3-1.87
Shammond Williams13130.000.50-0.500.23-827-3515.814.11.6713.213.9-0.63
Aaron McKie10100.000.50-0.500.15-524-2915.114.20.8813.813.80.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 77, LAC 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
ORL 82, TOR 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
BOS 92, WAS 1180.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%