NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	79		Excitement	3.6 [1090]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +9.5%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.3 [1296]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	15	53%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan McFarlin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	53%	-0.02	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	68%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	12	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	14	42%	-0.01	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.5	30.3	18.4	23.4	3.4	33.7	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.6%

DAL +10.6%

PHI -3.6%

DAL +17.4%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.4	91.9	106.9	104.5
season	15.5	16.3		101.7	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	17.7	17.0	14.3	16.5
DAL	14.3	18.3	17.2	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	12.0	16.6	-4.60	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Ivan McFarlin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	12.0	16.6	-4.60	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Alan Henderson	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-14	14	17.3	16.4	0.87	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Steven Hunter	13	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-16	18	17.7	16.3	1.42	17.5	16.7	0.74
Willie Green	56	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-17	20	15.4	18.6	-3.24	17.6	15.2	2.35
Lou Williams	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-15	16	16.1	16.7	-0.66	18.1	16.1	2.04
Rodney Carney	7	6	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	1	-16	24.0	15.8	8.18	19.7	16.6	3.07
Bobby Jones	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-10	6	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Samuel Dalembert	61	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	2	-18	16.4	16.7	-0.33	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Kevin Ollie	52	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	1	-16	16.7	16.1	0.66	16.1	18.1	-2.04
Kyle Korver	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	16.5	16.0	0.53	16.5	20.4	-3.94
Andre Iguodala	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	3	-20	16.7	15.0	1.68	16.9	16.3	0.61

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-1	16	16.8	16.8	-0.05	17.3	15.3	1.93
Jason Terry	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	-5	24	16.4	17.8	-1.36	16.5	16.3	0.19
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-3	20	15.9	20.1	-4.22	17.3	13.2	4.05
Greg Buckner	55	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	8	-2	17.5	15.6	1.92	16.0	17.3	-1.32
Devean George	37	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	11	-8	18.7	15.4	3.26	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Josh Howard	67	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	1	12	16.9	16.5	0.33	16.2	17.6	-1.35
DeSagana Diop	20	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	15	-16	15.4	17.2	-1.82	16.7	16.4	0.23
Erick Dampier	55	57	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	5	4	17.1	16.3	0.73	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	11	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.3	16.7	0.54	14.4	16.7	-2.28
Maurice Ager	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	20	-26	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.6	16.7	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHA 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 103, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%