NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	78		Excitement	4.6 [900]		MVP	Matt Barnes (GSW): +16.3%
Golden State Warriors	91		Comeback	1.1 [710]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -17.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.04	-0.05	11	18%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	14	83%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	11	58%	0.09	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	18	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.06	23	39%	-0.05	6	-0.09	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	26.8	14.0	27.2	2.4	26.6	121.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.4%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +20.9%

UTA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.4	83.9	96.8	104.5
season	15.9	13.5		107.4	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	14.7	13.8	18.2	15.7
GSW	12.2	16.7	13.4	19.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.34	12	-25	37	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.3	15.0	0.24
CJ Miles	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	17.5	15.6	1.92	28.0	14.6	13.43
Dee Brown	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	17.5	15.6	1.92	28.0	14.6	13.43
Jarron Collins	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-22	31	14.4	16.4	-2.07	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Derek Fisher	41	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-15	17	15.1	16.1	-0.93	13.2	16.7	-3.51
Andrei Kirilenko	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-6	-1	15.3	16.1	-0.79	15.7	14.4	1.24
Matt Harpring	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-1	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.2	15.1	0.08
Ronnie Brewer	22	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.10	14.2	15.4	-1.25
Gordan Giricek	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-6	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.70	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Deron Williams	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	4	-21	16.3	13.9	2.41	15.4	14.4	1.06
Mehmet Okur	55	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	10	-33	16.1	15.1	0.95	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Carlos Boozer	57	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.18	-24	11	-35	16.5	14.4	2.13	15.4	14.8	0.58

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	87	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.06	21	-8	29	14.7	20.7	-6.02	15.8	14.4	1.41
Andris Biedrins	84	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-5	23	15.3	13.7	1.61	15.7	15.3	0.41
Troy Murphy	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-5	23	15.1	15.1	0.01	15.7	15.6	0.05
Matt Barnes	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	13.2	19.1	-5.91	15.2	16.7	-1.57
Jason Richardson	85	85	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	1	11	15.5	11.6	3.96	15.7	15.2	0.46
Adonal Foyle	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	18	-23	13.8	15.3	-1.50	16.9	15.5	1.35
Keith McLeod	16	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	20	-27	15.6	15.1	0.51	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Mike Dunleavy	40	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	23	-33	18.1	12.9	5.24	16.1	15.4	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 96, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 76, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%