NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	91		Excitement	7.3 [387]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOK): +14.5%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.0 [525]		LVP	David West (NOK): -22.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.02	14	54%	0.17	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.07	-0.07	0.13	-0.01	15	33%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Linton Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	86%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
David West	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	22	39%	-0.17	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	14	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	13	85%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	23	48%	0.03	3	-0.12	15	47%	-0.17
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	5	21%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	36.1	15.7	34.2	2.4	37.5	152.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +27.1%

BOS -0.3%

NOK +1.5%

NOK +20.7%

NOK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	BOS	NBA	NOK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	13.1	15.4	91.0	86.1	104.5
season	16.0	15.5		102.8	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.2	13.6	16.7	18.3	15.6
BOS	14.6	12.6	11.7	13.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	58	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	15.2	16.2	-0.99	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Peja Stojakovic	64	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	15.9	15.1	0.84	12.9	13.4	-0.49
Chris Paul	75	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	4	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.71	13.2	12.6	0.65
Desmond Mason	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	3	-2	15.8	15.2	0.52	13.5	12.3	1.23
Hilton Armstrong	11	10	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-4	12	16.8	15.4	1.38	13.4	13.0	0.36
David West	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	6	-8	16.3	14.3	1.96	13.8	11.8	1.94
Rasual Butler	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	15.2	15.8	-0.52	12.3	13.5	-1.23
Jannero Pargo	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	0	4	16.1	15.4	0.71	12.6	13.2	-0.65
Cedric Simmons	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	13.5	16.2	-2.75	13.3	13.0	0.32
Linton Johnson	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	5	-6	14.3	15.9	-1.59	11.3	13.6	-2.25
Tyson Chandler	56	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	10	-16	16.0	15.0	0.97	13.1	13.0	0.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	45	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	13.5	12.8	0.70	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Wally Szczerbiak	75	77	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.46	13	-17	30	12.7	14.2	-1.55	16.5	12.6	3.93
Kendrick Perkins	47	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-3	2	12.3	13.7	-1.38	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Sebastian Telfair	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	14.0	12.0	2.02	16.3	14.7	1.64
Rajon Rondo	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	5	-14	12.2	14.0	-1.74	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Paul Pierce	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	13.2	12.6	0.62	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Tony Allen	41	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	5	-14	13.2	13.0	0.15	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Ryan Gomes	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	1	-6	13.0	13.2	-0.22	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Delonte West	45	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	9	-22	13.8	12.5	1.30	16.4	14.9	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 122, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.05,0	91.3%
NJN 103, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0	91.2%
IND 87, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0	91.2%