NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	7.8 [293]		MVP	Earl Watson (SEA): +22.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	7.2 [82]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAC): -13.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	20	60%	0.26	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.09
Cuttino Mobley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	10	90%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	11	67%	0.08	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.01	15	44%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
James Singleton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	-0.01	15	61%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Swift	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.07	-0.15	0.02	13	59%	-0.05	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	0.13	-0.24	0.01	25	62%	0.07	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.8	31.0	15.8	25.3	1.7	38.6	141.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.6%

LAC +21.4%

LAC +1.7%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.6	102.0	103.2	104.4
season	15.2	15.0		103.9	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		112.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	14.1	13.9	14.4	14.5
SEA	15.2	12.5	16.2	18.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	84	81	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.20	22	-18	40	14.4	14.5	-0.09	16.2	10.5	5.66
Chris Kaman	76	71	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.4	15.4	0.03
Quinton Ross	61	58	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.23	18	-14	32	14.1	15.0	-0.93	15.6	15.2	0.40
Sam Cassell	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-12	28	14.4	14.5	-0.09	15.5	15.3	0.20
Cuttino Mobley	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	0	4	14.8	12.5	2.28	15.6	14.4	1.19
Daniel Ewing	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	0.0	14.6	-14.60	7.0	15.5	-8.51
James Singleton	9	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	7	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.99	16.3	15.3	0.94
Shaun Livingston	50	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	16	-28	14.6	14.3	0.37	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Vladimir Radmanovic	29	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	14	-24	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.7	15.3	0.33
Zeljko Rebraca	34	34	-0.60	1.10	-1.71	0.19	-27	31	-58	15.2	14.1	1.10	13.5	16.5	-3.00

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	26	29	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.07	15	-19	34	14.7	15.7	-0.95	14.7	14.3	0.38
Robert Swift	42	42	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-5	6	15.2	15.6	-0.41	15.0	14.1	0.91
Nick Collison	49	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	16.4	14.4	1.99	14.9	13.9	1.02
Luke Ridnour	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	6	-16	16.1	14.8	1.29	14.9	14.1	0.88
Earl Watson	57	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.51	10	-14	24	14.3	17.1	-2.79	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Mikki Moore	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-12	20	13.9	16.4	-2.51	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Ray Allen	83	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Johan Petro	59	63	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.35	-12	8	-20	15.7	14.9	0.89	13.9	15.5	-1.64
Rashard Lewis	71	74	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.32	-19	15	-34	16.0	13.6	2.45	14.4	14.8	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 118, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	91.1%
POR 92, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.55,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	90.2%
MIL 100, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.08,0	89.9%