inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement3.8 [1082] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +13.0%
Utah Jazz 86 Comeback1.0 [644] LVPMehmet Okur (UTA): -9.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.130,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.130.130.010.011572%0.163-0.036100%0.01
Tony Parker0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.00-0.041568%0.174-0.04450%-0.01
Michael Finley0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.011154%0.0600.002100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.02-0.03550%0.0600.002100%0.01
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.01590%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.00-0.08250%0.0020.0300%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.001100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.060.03-0.041039%0.011-0.01862%-0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.020.031270%0.112-0.03683%0.01
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.060.06-0.0500%0.082-0.0320%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.040.020.032056%0.072-0.03887%0.02
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.031258%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Keith McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00422%-0.0300.0010%-0.01
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.001046%0.003-0.06862%-0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01936%-0.062-0.047100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.027.615.532.21.830.2133.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.3%
UTA -6.8%
UTA -4.5%
SAS +15.9%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game17.416.215.6111.8100.0104.4
season16.317.0106.0101.7
opponent15.015.6104.699.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.416.116.720.917.4
UTA18.716.614.615.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker66650.430.070.350.1981718.015.62.4116.216.4-0.18
Michael Finley51510.410.090.33-0.0215-62117.717.10.6016.915.21.71
Rasho Nesterovic43410.400.100.310.0811-21318.016.91.1217.115.41.68
Robert Horry37400.390.110.28-0.0816-72315.319.1-3.8116.316.20.06
Manu Ginobili51540.380.120.260.0910-11115.819.9-4.0116.016.6-0.61
Bruce Bowen57580.240.26-0.020.27-110-1118.615.13.4415.917.0-1.12
Tim Duncan63610.230.27-0.030.35-413-1718.414.63.7915.717.7-2.02
Nick Van Exel14140.140.36-0.22-0.0363314.818.0-3.1918.515.82.69
Fabricio Oberto99-0.000.50-0.500.06-211-1316.617.6-1.0012.316.7-4.37
Nazr Mohammed1518-0.020.52-0.540.07-312-1516.517.6-1.1118.415.72.71
Brent Barry1919-0.110.61-0.720.21-1120-3118.617.11.5314.416.8-2.41

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries650.01-0.510.51-0.052-111317.516.11.3517.617.40.16
Milt Palacio650.01-0.510.51-0.052-111317.516.11.3517.617.40.16
Keith McLeod2222-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-7516.616.10.5316.117.9-1.83
Jarron Collins1817-0.20-0.300.100.09-101-1117.715.91.8014.618.2-3.57
Devin Brown1111-0.28-0.22-0.050.22-178-2519.615.73.8912.718.1-5.42
Matt Harpring8080-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.360-9916.216.7-0.4517.812.45.36
Deron Williams6463-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.17-7-2-516.116.6-0.5317.916.11.83
Andrei Kirilenko7574-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.29-3-6315.720.1-4.4117.815.12.71
Carlos Boozer7574-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.29-3-6315.720.1-4.4117.815.12.71
Mehmet Okur7374-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.23-7-2-516.415.50.8317.715.52.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 111, MIA 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
PHX 107, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
DAL 128, NOP 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.04,0,095.8%