NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	7.5 [332]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +47.0%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	4.3 [529]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -15.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	25	58%	0.33	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.07	-0.03	2	60%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Juan Dixon	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	77%	0.17	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	1	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.03,-0.13,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	12	41%	-0.10	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.14	0.30	-0.02	19	62%	0.47	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.14	0.01	12	62%	0.26	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	15	60%	0.17	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.07
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.12	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.04
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	29.4	16.7	30.4	1.8	37.5	143.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -0.3%

DAL +39.0%

DAL +23.5%

POR -3.9%

POR -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.6	93.5	100.0	104.4
season	16.6	16.4		99.4	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	17.0	16.9	15.1	15.8
DAL	16.0	16.5	14.4	13.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	35	34	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-16	26	15.8	15.8	-0.02	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Voshon Lenard	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	3.7	16.2	-12.58	3.7	15.5	-11.84
Sebastian Telfair	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	0	-6	17.0	15.5	1.52	15.9	14.9	0.96
Jarrett Jack	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	17.6	15.1	2.42	16.0	14.8	1.18
Brian Skinner	23	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	5	-16	16.7	15.5	1.20	15.7	14.9	0.78
Zach Randolph	79	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	16.3	13.4	2.84	15.6	12.9	2.62
Theo Ratliff	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-11	16	15.5	16.7	-1.20	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Martell Webster	12	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	2	-10	15.7	15.9	-0.10	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Juan Dixon	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	15.1	17.6	-2.42	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Steve Blake	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-6	6	15.5	17.0	-1.52	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Darius Miles	57	57	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	9	-24	15.9	15.7	0.19	15.7	14.2	1.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	77	78	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-3	12	14.3	19.1	-4.75	16.0	15.0	1.00
Jerry Stackhouse	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-7	20	15.1	15.1	-0.03	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Devin Harris	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	-1	8	14.5	16.2	-1.71	16.7	13.9	2.81
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	14.6	17.6	-2.94	15.9	15.6	0.26
DeSagana Diop	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	7	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.10	17.0	14.5	2.43
Erick Dampier	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	4	-2	17.2	13.7	3.51	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Josh Powell	9	10	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	15.6	15.1	0.47	15.5	15.9	-0.38
DJ Mbenga	3	4	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	1	4	9.0	15.3	-6.33	13.5	15.9	-2.44
Adrian Griffin	30	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	14.8	15.3	-0.53	13.8	16.7	-2.89
Marquis Daniels	51	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	16.9	13.0	3.88	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Darrell Armstrong	4	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	20.5	14.9	5.61	9.0	16.1	-7.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.57,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, LAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.2%
BOS 94, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.92,1	91.1%
DAL 106, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.85,1	91.0%