NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	8.6 [185]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +30.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	119		Comeback	1.3 [937]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -14.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.28,0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.00	25	52%	0.29	2	-0.07	14	71%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Donell Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	15	53%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,-0.15	-0.00	-0.18	-0.03	22	48%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.09	0.01	28	69%	0.41	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	-0.01	9	86%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.04,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.16	0.00	22	59%	0.37	5	-0.18	7	71%	0.07
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.8	31.2	17.8	28.0	3.5	47.6	155.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +76.6%

PHI +4.1%

WAS -30.2%

WAS -1.0%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	15.6	110.8	114.4	104.4
season	15.1	15.2		107.4	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	16.7	15.0	11.2	14.6
PHI	13.6	12.8	13.8	13.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	59	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-13	20	14.5	14.8	-0.25	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Michael Ruffin	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-3	0	7.0	14.8	-7.80	0.0	13.5	-13.46
Antonio Daniels	65	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-11	16	13.5	16.6	-3.14	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Donell Taylor	26	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.08	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.4	0.89	12.7	13.5	-0.79
Brendan Haywood	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	5	-16	16.6	13.7	2.85	14.6	12.7	1.87
Jared Jeffries	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	7	-20	17.4	12.4	4.96	14.2	12.7	1.52
Caron Butler	89	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.0	18.8	-4.81	13.5	12.2	1.22
Antawn Jamison	93	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	14.1	20.3	-6.24	13.3	13.2	0.14
Gilbert Arenas	97	98	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	0	-6	14.6	15.6	-1.00	13.4	12.8	0.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	84	83	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-8	22	13.1	14.2	-1.08	15.2	12.4	2.80
Andre Iguodala	92	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.42	5	1	4	13.4	12.6	0.84	15.0	11.6	3.38
Allen Iverson	104	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.3	0.0	13.33	14.8	1.0	13.78
Kevin Ollie	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-6	18	13.4	13.2	0.23	15.7	12.1	3.55
Steven Hunter	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-3	12	14.2	12.6	1.56	16.0	13.5	2.50
Kyle Korver	69	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	8	-10	12.8	14.3	-1.49	13.6	16.5	-2.86
Lou Williams	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	13.3	-13.33	1.0	14.8	-13.78
John Salmons	42	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	11	-16	13.0	13.5	-0.55	12.0	16.3	-4.33
Samuel Dalembert	9	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	15	-24	14.7	13.2	1.47	10.7	15.1	-4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	92.3%
SAS 102, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.46,0.59,0.65,0.84,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.83,1	91.9%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	91.6%