inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement11.7 [27] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +56.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 Comeback6.9 [167] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -17.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.560,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.560.030.530.002456%0.744-0.18667%-0.02
DerMarr Johnson0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.160.070.100.001557%0.1600.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,-0.020.07-0.080.001275%0.293-0.3100%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021233%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Andre Miller-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.29,-0.34,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.110.011647%-0.003-0.16862%-0.12
Marcus Camby-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.11-0.00520%-0.151-0.0300%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.080.080.010.05-0.011366%0.265-0.183100%0.04
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.00470%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Rashad McCants0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.00557%0.041-0.04475%-0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01940%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.001849%0.194-0.28367%-0.00
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.00540%-0.022-0.0800%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1-0.100.02-0.120.00950%-0.1000.00475%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1-0.100.00-0.080.022144%-0.1000.001070%-0.07
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.040.01333%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.02.626.416.426.52.332.32.516.5149.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +105.4%
MIN -22.9%
MIN -40.0%
MIN -4.4%
DEN +11.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game15.615.315.6100.097.1104.4
season14.416.1103.5101.0
opponent15.915.9103.1103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN16.017.214.816.611.615.6
MIN16.814.113.518.513.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenyon Martin69700.98-0.481.460.6611-102114.717.5-2.8814.816.4-1.60
Marcus Camby81830.77-0.271.040.4511-102115.316.8-1.5315.713.52.20
Carmelo Anthony92930.74-0.240.980.566-51115.219.1-3.8814.720.4-5.69
Andre Miller86850.54-0.040.580.424-3715.913.91.9716.310.75.62
DerMarr Johnson77780.430.070.360.314-3715.914.71.1616.212.73.50
Earl Boykins4045-0.100.60-0.700.11-78-1515.315.8-0.4113.516.6-3.12
Linas Kleiza2021-0.240.74-0.99-0.01-89-1716.615.31.3113.515.7-2.20
Francisco Elson4545-0.611.11-1.73-0.14-1617-3317.014.52.5915.615.00.64

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount78790.38-0.881.260.264-5916.312.33.9115.117.4-2.32
Marko Jaric31300.34-0.841.180.0211-122314.215.7-1.5017.414.82.55
Rashad McCants2827-0.06-0.440.39-0.205-61112.616.3-3.6616.615.21.40
Marcus Banks8076-0.21-0.290.08-0.5311-122314.916.7-1.8015.516.0-0.49
Anthony Carter2426-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-1211-2316.714.91.8016.015.50.49
Ricky Davis8786-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.39-21-315.912.13.8515.217.6-2.33
Justin Reed3937-0.560.06-0.63-0.684-5912.117.2-5.0816.415.11.27
Kevin Garnett8987-0.670.17-0.84-0.41-98-1715.812.33.4415.715.20.47
Trenton Hassell6462-0.970.47-1.45-0.48-1716-3316.213.92.2814.916.7-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 106, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.27,091.1%
CHI 95, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.83,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.22,0.08,089.3%
DAL 116, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.68,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.29,0.22,0.02,089.1%