inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 77 Excitement2.5 [1260] MVPShareef Abdur-Rahim (SAC): +10.4%
Sacramento Kings 102 Comeback1.1 [1194] LVPTroy Murphy (GSW): -6.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andris Biedrins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04767%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Derek Fisher0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021045%0.0010.002100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.011257%0.023-0.02475%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.120.00-0.0980%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.040,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.01-0.052036%-0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01250%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.021040%-0.041-0.01580%-0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.00729%-0.061-0.003100%0.01
Troy Murphy-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00925%-0.0700.00250%-0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.01971%0.1000.003100%0.01
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.03789%0.103-0.035100%0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.041167%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02972%0.074-0.0400%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05760%0.0000.001100%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.04842%0.012-0.02333%-0.02
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00567%0.033-0.042100%0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.031246%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.627.216.423.52.728.0124.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +53.1%
SAC +4.1%
GSW -0.8%
GSW -8.0%
SAC +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game14.915.615.681.1108.5104.4
season14.815.3102.9104.7
opponent15.515.5103.8104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.413.716.412.814.9
SAC11.917.014.219.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney1615-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-354511.715.5-3.8420.914.66.35
Zarko Cabarkapa1414-0.01-0.490.470.34-12-13114.914.90.0516.415.50.89
Monta Ellis2927-0.04-0.460.420.37-14-11-314.115.2-1.1215.615.60.05
Ike Diogu4242-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-191313.516.0-2.5217.314.23.01
Andris Biedrins5252-0.16-0.340.180.31-16-9-714.215.7-1.4415.815.40.43
Mike Dunleavy4949-0.17-0.330.160.36-18-7-1114.015.8-1.7416.914.22.63
Adonal Foyle2727-0.34-0.16-0.180.22-19-6-1318.013.64.4012.316.9-4.68
Jason Richardson6465-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-242314.715.3-0.6015.116.6-1.48
Mickael Pietrus6362-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-9-16714.815.1-0.2715.715.40.29
Troy Murphy4242-0.43-0.07-0.370.21-22-3-1917.412.94.5213.117.6-4.48
Derek Fisher7775-0.49-0.01-0.490.03-18-7-1115.312.92.3915.416.4-1.03

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Bibby60610.450.050.41-0.3126-12714.218.1-3.8615.414.01.42
Metta World Peace69680.450.050.40-0.282502514.319.1-4.7516.111.74.44
Kenny Thomas44430.410.090.32-0.06169714.416.7-2.3215.814.21.61
Brad Miller60620.380.120.27-0.352502513.719.0-5.3315.813.22.61
Kevin Martin60620.370.130.24-0.302322113.918.6-4.7816.112.53.58
Francisco Garcia54550.220.28-0.06-0.071015-516.714.12.6513.516.8-3.31
Shareef Abdur-Rahim46470.200.30-0.09-0.442231915.016.2-1.1715.114.70.40
Brian Skinner22220.000.50-0.500.09-328-3119.914.35.6312.815.5-2.69
Jason Hart22220.000.50-0.500.09-328-3119.914.35.6312.815.5-2.69
Jamal Sampson440.000.50-0.50-0.09322-1922.515.37.2112.715.0-2.23
Corliss Williamson16160.000.50-0.500.29-1035-4522.014.37.7211.215.6-4.37
Ronnie Price13130.000.50-0.500.26-934-4322.614.58.1510.015.7-5.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 94, NYK 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
MEM 84, LAC 1100.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
POR 87, PHX 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%