inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement2.9 [1221] MVPNick Van Exel (SAS): +7.4%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 68 Comeback1.0 [662] LVPChris Andersen (NOK): -8.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.03-0.00-0.051059%0.092-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.01-0.041647%0.0600.00475%0.02
Brent Barry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02767%0.0400.001100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04833%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Michael Finley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.002100%0.00
Melvin Sanders0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02629%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.051154%-0.001-0.024100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02643%-0.012-0.022100%-0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01537%-0.0300.00667%-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.120.000.09594%0.051-0.026100%0.01
Jackson Vroman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.06380%-0.0010.004100%-0.00
David West0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.001352%0.012-0.033100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00442%-0.011-0.01475%-0.01
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041835%-0.031-0.034100%0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00615%-0.0600.0010%-0.02
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.00-0.0470%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02922%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.0338%-0.061-0.02617%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.727.015.826.11.833.2130.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +37.5%
NOK -0.1%
SAS +1.6%
SAS +10.8%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOKNBASASNOKNBA
this game17.416.215.696.681.0104.4
season16.316.3106.0101.2
opponent15.315.6104.199.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.717.017.117.917.4
NOK15.815.718.914.716.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen54530.470.030.44-0.2123-73018.116.31.8517.314.42.84
Tim Duncan53520.370.130.25-0.1819-32218.815.43.3917.214.72.52
Brent Barry38380.330.170.16-0.081421217.617.30.2319.013.95.04
Rasho Nesterovic24240.300.200.10-0.081331017.617.40.2419.914.75.12
Tony Parker57540.280.220.070.0297217.717.00.6816.615.51.06
Nick Van Exel39370.280.220.06-0.07124815.119.4-4.3014.917.2-2.32
Nazr Mohammed40380.170.33-0.160.17016-1617.217.7-0.5114.417.7-3.27
Fabricio Oberto55520.150.35-0.190.21-218-2016.519.0-2.4514.618.8-4.15
Michael Finley40390.130.37-0.23-0.1397217.617.30.2315.017.3-2.27
Beno Udrih14140.000.50-0.500.15-521-2618.317.31.0015.116.4-1.29
Sean Marks11100.000.50-0.500.18-622-2817.117.5-0.4113.616.6-2.97
Melvin Sanders1090.000.50-0.500.18-622-2818.417.31.0812.716.6-3.97

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jackson Vroman670.00-0.500.50-0.238-243210.316.7-6.3318.717.31.38
Brandon Bass890.00-0.500.50-0.238-243211.416.7-5.3518.617.31.24
Arvydas Macijauskas890.00-0.500.50-0.238-243211.416.7-5.3518.617.31.24
J.R. Smith1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-202415.116.4-1.2918.317.31.00
Speedy Claxton4750-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-131014.917.9-3.0517.816.90.87
Chris Andersen3031-0.10-0.400.310.23-11-5-615.416.7-1.2716.518.0-1.45
Rasual Butler4445-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-151415.516.9-1.4016.318.7-2.40
Desmond Mason4647-0.33-0.17-0.160.20-182-2017.414.82.5518.616.12.50
P.J. Brown5758-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-11-5-617.513.63.8618.016.31.66
Kirk Snyder3937-0.43-0.07-0.360.13-193-2219.513.46.1617.017.8-0.78
David West6164-0.520.02-0.540.15-237-3016.316.00.2417.118.5-1.40
Chris Paul6064-0.530.03-0.570.11-226-2816.016.7-0.6917.118.5-1.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 110, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,096.9%
DET 111, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
CHI 108, MIN 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%