NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	11.3 [39]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (NYK): +20.0%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	12.9 [81]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -22.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	0.01	12	45%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.01	16	56%	0.16	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.14
Mike Bibby	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	30	55%	0.22	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Kevin Martin	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.21	3	-0.12	10	90%	0.09
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Francisco Garcia	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.15,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.15	0.02	12	70%	0.39	3	-0.19	6	83%	0.08
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.01	8	70%	0.17	1	-0.06	4	25%	-0.09
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.11,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	18	58%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	6	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.16	-0.01	8	71%	0.06	6	-0.20	8	87%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	14	25%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.3	2.6	30.0	15.8	22.2	1.6	40.2	2.3	18.4	153.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -11.6%

SAC +43.6%

NYK -17.1%

SAC +34.8%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	15.6	99.1	96.2	104.4
season	15.3	15.7		104.7	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.5	15.0	18.0	15.9	9.5	15.2
NYK	15.8	13.8	15.4	15.4	11.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	81	81	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-3	10	15.0	15.8	-0.76	14.7	14.6	0.13
Francisco Garcia	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.50	7	-3	10	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Mike Bibby	93	93	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-5	14	15.1	15.8	-0.68	14.8	13.5	1.28
Kevin Martin	99	97	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-5	14	15.1	16.9	-1.81	14.9	12.4	2.42
Brad Miller	107	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.2	0.0	15.20	14.7	0.0	14.66
Corliss Williamson	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.9	15.1	0.76	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Jason Hart	14	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.8	15.1	0.68	13.5	14.8	-1.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	27	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.14	-5	9	-14	15.6	15.0	0.58	14.5	14.7	-0.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	7	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-7	10	16.9	14.5	2.35	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Nate Robinson	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	14.4	14.7	-0.29	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Eddy Curry	63	61	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-10	16	15.2	13.8	1.39	16.9	13.0	3.93
Maurice Taylor	74	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-17	30	15.0	13.8	1.26	15.5	14.4	1.17
Quentin Richardson	49	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.4	0.63	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Channing Frye	33	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	4	-12	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.4	15.1	0.30
Qyntel Woods	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	14.5	14.7	-0.21	14.8	15.5	-0.61
Jamal Crawford	96	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.71	15.0	16.7	-1.75
Stephon Marbury	89	91	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	0	-4	14.8	13.9	0.86	15.5	13.7	1.70
Malik Rose	46	47	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.06	-20	16	-36	12.7	16.2	-3.55	13.0	16.9	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	89.3%
NYK 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.78,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.17,0	89.2%
MIN 96, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.22,0.05,0	89.0%