NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	79		Excitement	7.2 [403]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +15.8%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	87		Comeback	2.1 [776]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (MEM): -29.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	12	81%	0.26	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.07	0.04	8	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	11	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Burks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.23,-0.16,-0.23,-0.3	-0.11	-0.21	-0.02	17	32%	-0.26	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	12	57%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
David West	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	18	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	29.1	16.7	26.6	1.8	32.4	137.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +31.1%

NOK +9.4%

NOK +5.5%

NOK +7.0%

MEM -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOK	NBA	MEM	NOK	NBA
this game	18.3	17.1	15.6	96.3	107.4	104.4
season	17.1	16.3		103.5	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	18.8	17.2	21.4	18.3
NOK	18.1	16.2	16.3	17.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	38	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-10	12	16.8	19.5	-2.66	17.2	17.0	0.18
Jake Tsakalidis	10	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	16.8	18.5	-1.67	20.5	16.7	3.82
Shane Battier	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-9	10	18.5	17.3	1.19	16.9	18.1	-1.22
Bobby Jackson	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	18.0	19.2	-1.23	16.8	17.8	-0.99
Hakim Warrick	16	14	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	17.3	18.5	-1.19	18.1	16.9	1.22
Eddie Jones	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	18.8	17.0	1.76	16.8	17.7	-0.85
Antonio Burks	29	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	0	-8	18.6	18.1	0.44	17.8	16.7	1.14
Pau Gasol	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	18.5	16.8	1.67	16.7	20.5	-3.82
Mike Miller	57	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	18.9	16.9	2.00	17.1	17.0	0.15

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	51	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-9	26	17.2	16.9	0.26	19.1	17.0	2.09
Chris Andersen	35	36	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	18.2	16.2	1.95	19.7	17.1	2.59
P.J. Brown	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	16.1	20.8	-4.67	18.1	18.9	-0.87
Rasual Butler	29	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	0	8	18.5	16.2	2.27	19.9	17.3	2.63
Chris Paul	69	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	8	-8	17.1	16.7	0.46	17.8	21.2	-3.49
David West	54	54	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	11	-14	16.8	17.6	-0.80	17.9	19.0	-1.11
Desmond Mason	56	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	10	-12	16.3	18.8	-2.51	17.1	20.8	-3.66
Jackson Vroman	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	5	-2	20.6	16.7	3.84	17.9	18.3	-0.44
Kirk Snyder	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	9	-10	17.1	17.0	0.13	18.1	18.4	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.1%
LAC 75, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	91.9%
SAC 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	91.4%