NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	4.2 [994]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +25.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.4 [933]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -9.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	18	52%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Hodge	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	-0.09	16	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	17	82%	0.29	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.04	20	65%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	25.6	16.7	22.2	2.7	29.0	120.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +61.6%

DEN -6.0%

MIN +0.3%

DEN -5.9%

DEN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	17.7	15.6	101.1	114.4	104.4
season	14.4	16.1		103.5	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	15.5	13.8	14.6	14.6
MIN	16.9	17.9	18.1	18.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Hodge	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	15.0	14.6	0.43	17.7	17.7	-0.08
Linas Kleiza	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-12	10	12.0	14.9	-2.87	18.1	17.7	0.41
Earl Watson	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-14	14	14.9	14.3	0.62	17.7	17.7	-0.01
Francisco Elson	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	15.3	13.0	2.28	18.1	16.8	1.33
Earl Boykins	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-15	16	14.4	14.9	-0.49	17.8	17.6	0.19
DerMarr Johnson	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	-1	-12	14.0	15.2	-1.15	18.3	17.0	1.28
Eduardo Najera	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	15.2	14.0	1.15	16.8	18.6	-1.84
Kenyon Martin	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	14.5	14.7	-0.21	17.7	17.8	-0.09
Carmelo Anthony	65	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	13.9	16.4	-2.51	18.6	15.2	3.39
Andre Miller	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	4	-22	14.9	13.4	1.53	16.7	21.1	-4.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-3	20	17.7	17.9	-0.19	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Marko Jaric	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.05	17	-3	20	17.2	19.3	-2.04	14.9	13.4	1.51
Trenton Hassell	71	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-2	18	18.1	16.4	1.74	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Kevin Garnett	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	0	14	17.6	18.7	-1.11	15.0	12.2	2.81
Eddie Griffin	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	6	2	17.9	17.6	0.28	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Mark Madsen	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	9	-4	17.8	17.7	0.16	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	17.7	17.7	-0.08	15.0	14.6	0.43
Ronald Dupree	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.0	17.9	-4.85	15.0	14.6	0.43
Rashad McCants	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	17	-20	18.0	17.6	0.41	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Troy Hudson	46	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	20	-26	18.1	17.4	0.70	14.7	14.4	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
NOH 86, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%