NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	8.8 [163]		MVP	Delonte West (BOS): +31.0%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	3.6 [203]		LVP	Tony Allen (BOS): -17.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.29	0.13	0.16	0.00	18	67%	0.35	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.00	15	56%	0.32	3	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	9	68%	0.18	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	4	90%	0.08	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	12	82%	0.37	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	85%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	12	44%	0.01	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.17	0.01	19	57%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	11	35%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.8	29.0	15.8	26.5	1.7	32.6	135.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +60.1%

ATL +10.9%

BOS -20.1%

BOS -2.8%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.6	109.6	104.3	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		103.9	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		104.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	18.4	13.8	18.3	16.1
BOS	13.9	12.9	15.6	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	55	54	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.34	20	-15	35	16.4	15.7	0.73	16.0	12.6	3.34
Al Harrington	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-3	11	16.0	16.3	-0.29	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Tyronn Lue	49	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	17.6	14.5	3.08	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Joe Johnson	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	16.4	13.0	3.38	14.6	13.9	0.74
Josh Smith	73	72	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.40	-10	15	-25	17.0	13.1	3.86	13.6	17.6	-3.98
Marvin Williams	35	37	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.06	3	2	1	14.9	16.8	-1.93	15.3	14.1	1.20
Zaza Pachulia	58	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	14.8	18.2	-3.49	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Salim Stoudamire	17	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	6	-7	16.1	16.1	0.03	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Royal Ivey	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	6	-7	13.6	16.8	-3.25	14.8	14.5	0.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	22	22	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-9	13	13.1	15.0	-1.90	14.9	16.5	-1.55
Raef LaFrentz	35	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-8	11	15.7	13.9	1.82	16.1	16.1	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-4	3	5.0	14.6	-9.65	0.0	16.1	-16.10
Mark Blount	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.1	14.8	-0.74	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Orien Greene	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	15.4	14.1	1.27	13.7	17.4	-3.70
Justin Reed	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	15.6	14.4	1.18	12.2	16.6	-4.36
Tony Allen	52	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-7	9	14.9	14.1	0.77	18.1	13.4	4.61
Ricky Davis	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-3	1	14.4	15.5	-1.12	16.8	11.9	4.84
Al Jefferson	55	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	3	-11	13.9	15.4	-1.48	16.4	15.7	0.65
Paul Pierce	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	3	-11	14.3	15.6	-1.25	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Delonte West	73	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	4	-13	14.9	13.2	1.68	16.3	15.5	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	90.5%
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	90.3%
SAC 96, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.78,0.55,0.58,0	90.3%