NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	5.3 [771]		MVP	Grant Hill (ORL): +16.2%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	1.0 [1255]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	17	63%	0.12	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.15	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	10	29%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
David Lee	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	15	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	10	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	4	-0.07	11	45%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.3	31.5	16.6	29.2	2.5	36.3	145.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.2%

ORL +4.1%

NYK -27.9%

ORL +25.4%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.6	105.6	112.9	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		102.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	16.8	18.1	14.3	16.5
ORL	13.9	13.9	14.6	17.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-6	2	17.0	16.5	0.54	16.2	14.9	1.37
Maurice Taylor	33	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	15.1	17.3	-2.24	15.1	14.9	0.25
Quentin Richardson	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	17.1	16.2	0.89	13.3	15.9	-2.51
Trevor Ariza	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	15.3	17.1	-1.87	16.0	14.5	1.52
Eddy Curry	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	16.1	16.9	-0.78	15.5	14.5	0.97
Nate Robinson	36	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-10	10	15.6	17.1	-1.50	15.6	14.6	0.99
Antonio Davis	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-2	-6	18.6	15.7	2.91	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Channing Frye	45	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-8	6	15.4	17.6	-2.18	14.9	15.1	-0.19
David Lee	27	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	0	-10	18.8	15.5	3.29	14.0	15.4	-1.34
Jerome James	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	18.5	15.5	2.98	15.0	15.0	0.07
Jamal Crawford	62	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-7	4	16.5	16.4	0.12	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Stephon Marbury	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	16.3	17.7	-1.42	15.3	13.3	2.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	66	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.03	22	-12	34	15.0	15.0	0.04	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Dwight Howard	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-4	18	15.6	13.4	2.18	16.8	15.4	1.41
Tony Battie	67	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-3	16	15.5	13.7	1.80	15.8	18.4	-2.56
Steve Francis	69	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	14.6	16.2	-1.64	16.6	16.3	0.22
Grant Hill	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	6	-2	15.5	13.6	1.96	16.4	16.8	-0.46
Jameer Nelson	42	39	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	10	-10	14.1	15.7	-1.63	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Kelvin Cato	29	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	13	-16	14.7	15.1	-0.44	17.6	16.0	1.60
Hedo Turkoglu	41	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	16	-22	14.8	15.1	-0.29	16.6	16.5	0.09
Pat Garrity	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	16	-22	13.1	15.3	-2.21	17.9	16.2	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 78, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	95.5%
PHI 74, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%