NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	8.3 [224]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +33.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	19.4 [38]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -31.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.15	0.12	0.01	20	62%	0.27	1	-0.02	15	100%	0.14
Jason Terry	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,0.06,0.05,0.23	0.02	0.23	0.03	11	63%	0.34	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.09
Josh Howard	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	13	65%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.18	-0.00	12	74%	0.34	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.00	21	43%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	16	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	37%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.32	-0.32	-0.02	-0.30	-0.00	9	45%	-0.16	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	38.0	16.7	26.0	0.8	44.0	155.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.4%

DAL +19.1%

SEA -11.5%

DAL +21.0%

DAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.6	109.8	106.5	104.4
season	16.4	15.0		109.0	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		112.2	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.6	15.8	17.0	13.6	15.4
SEA	16.4	14.2	18.1	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	76	78	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.44	21	-18	39	14.9	17.8	-2.88	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Darrell Armstrong	17	16	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.51	15	-12	27	12.1	16.2	-4.07	15.9	15.9	0.08
Erick Dampier	63	63	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-7	17	15.6	15.0	0.58	16.5	14.6	1.92
Jason Terry	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.0	15.4	0.54
Josh Howard	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.50	-8	11	-19	15.9	14.0	1.83	15.7	16.4	-0.71
DJ Mbenga	14	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-2	7	15.6	15.4	0.25	13.3	16.4	-3.03
Adrian Griffin	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	1	1	15.4	15.5	-0.11	17.7	14.6	3.14
Devin Harris	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	0	3	14.4	16.0	-1.62	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Keith Van Horn	32	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	10	-17	16.5	14.9	1.63	15.6	16.0	-0.39
DeSagana Diop	13	13	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	14	-25	16.5	15.3	1.20	16.7	15.7	0.96
Jerry Stackhouse	32	30	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.07	-14	17	-31	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.9	16.3	-1.39

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	40	40	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.15	7	-10	17	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.6	15.3	0.25
Ronald Murray	45	46	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.03	10	-13	23	14.7	17.0	-2.27	16.0	14.9	1.04
Nick Collison	47	47	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-11	19	16.5	15.2	1.35	15.7	15.1	0.59
Mateen Cleaves	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	11.0	16.1	-5.09	17.0	15.4	1.62
Vitaly Potapenko	26	27	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	16.5	15.6	0.83	16.3	15.1	1.22
Johan Petro	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-2	1	11.0	16.3	-5.27	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Damien Wilkins	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-4	5	8.5	16.0	-7.53	10.3	15.6	-5.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	46	47	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.9	16.8	-1.87	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Reggie Evans	39	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	6	-15	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.9	15.1	0.83
Ray Allen	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	4	-11	16.3	14.5	1.86	15.1	16.6	-1.58
Luke Ridnour	58	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.38	-12	9	-21	16.6	14.6	2.03	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Rashard Lewis	76	75	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.53	-14	11	-25	16.3	13.7	2.64	15.2	16.4	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.59,0.75,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	91.7%
POR 95, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.71,0.22,0.26,0	90.3%
CLE 119, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.2%