NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.3 [558]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +23.7%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.5 [953]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (MIN): -14.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.04	0.05	16	57%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.10	24	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	5	19%	-0.08	3	-0.06	6	17%	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.01	14	70%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	10	64%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	37%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.06	0.01	13	41%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.5	17.6	25.1	1.7	37.5	138.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +57.7%

DAL +12.5%

MIN -17.5%

DAL +0.6%

MIN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.6	99.0	108.5	104.4
season	16.1	16.4		101.0	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	15.4	16.1	15.0	15.4
DAL	12.9	18.2	15.9	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	52	53	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-17	27	15.0	15.9	-0.83	16.2	13.2	3.01
Anthony Carter	7	5	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-8	9	13.9	15.5	-1.68	15.6	14.9	0.75
Trenton Hassell	77	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	15.0	17.0	-1.97	14.7	15.9	-1.28
Rashad McCants	10	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.4	0.32	15.2	14.9	0.39
Kevin Garnett	78	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.2	20.6	-6.39	14.6	16.3	-1.78
Marko Jaric	74	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-8	9	14.3	19.1	-4.77	15.3	13.3	2.01
Mark Madsen	25	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	4	-15	18.4	14.4	4.09	16.9	14.2	2.72
Wally Szczerbiak	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.3	-1.09	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Eddie Griffin	20	19	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	6	-19	20.8	14.0	6.80	11.8	15.7	-3.82
Troy Hudson	56	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.17	-19	12	-31	16.5	13.8	2.69	14.2	15.9	-1.70

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	74	76	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-2	11	15.0	14.6	0.31	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Jason Terry	73	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	14.5	16.3	-1.79	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Keith Van Horn	43	44	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	-2	11	14.6	15.1	-0.49	17.0	14.1	2.84
Devin Harris	52	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	1	5	15.3	14.4	0.84	15.5	15.3	0.25
Josh Howard	82	83	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	14.4	18.5	-4.13	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Adrian Griffin	70	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	12	-17	14.6	15.7	-1.04	15.2	16.0	-0.81
DJ Mbenga	5	4	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	15.2	14.9	0.32	13.2	15.5	-2.26
DeSagana Diop	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	7	-7	17.2	13.8	3.40	16.5	14.9	1.58
Erick Dampier	42	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	8	-9	15.1	14.7	0.36	15.2	15.6	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.5%
CLE 83, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
SAS 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.3%