NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	3.5 [1120]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NOK): +11.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	102		Comeback	1.3 [1060]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -6.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	13	68%	0.10	6	-0.12	12	100%	0.05
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	64%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	14	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	64%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	70%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	4	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	14	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.7	25.2	11.7	27.3	1.0	34.2	130.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +31.8%

LAC -3.8%

NOK +8.1%

NOK +15.5%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOK	NBA	LAC	NOK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.6	94.7	109.7	104.4
season	15.2	16.3		103.9	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	14.0	15.6	13.6	14.8
NOK	13.5	16.0	14.4	20.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-12	11	16.9	14.6	2.21	11.4	16.4	-4.94
Daniel Ewing	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-12	11	15.6	14.6	1.02	16.8	15.7	1.10
Howard Eisley	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	16.8	14.5	2.28	11.4	16.6	-5.15
Walter McCarty	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-10	7	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.1	16.0	0.15
Chris Wilcox	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-12	11	16.0	14.3	1.65	16.9	15.6	1.23
Shaun Livingston	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	14.2	15.2	-0.96	17.2	15.1	2.09
Quinton Ross	53	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.0	14.6	0.44	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Sam Cassell	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-11	9	14.0	17.4	-3.42	16.4	14.7	1.67
Chris Kaman	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-6	-1	14.4	16.6	-2.23	16.4	14.4	2.02
Cuttino Mobley	76	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	5	-23	14.9	14.3	0.66	16.0	15.9	0.07
Elton Brand	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	5	-23	14.9	14.1	0.87	15.4	19.4	-4.04

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	2	9	15.9	16.2	-0.30	14.8	14.9	-0.07
P.J. Brown	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	4	5	16.1	15.7	0.43	14.7	15.3	-0.61
J.R. Smith	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	6	1	16.0	16.1	-0.15	14.9	14.7	0.21
Desmond Mason	65	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	16.0	16.1	-0.15	14.8	14.8	0.00
Jackson Vroman	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	3	7	15.1	16.8	-1.64	15.1	14.5	0.62
David West	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	6	1	16.4	14.7	1.79	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Speedy Claxton	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	5	3	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Rasual Butler	28	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	16.1	16.0	0.15	14.8	14.8	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 79, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 82, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%