NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	2.2 [1299]		MVP	James Jones (PHX): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.0 [1228]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -8.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Esteban Batista	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	1	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.01	4	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	13	47%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.05	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	8	22%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	27%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	7	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	82%	0.06	4	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	14%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sharrod Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	80%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	36%	-0.05	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	28.0	15.0	27.2	2.6	33.2	135.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.4%

PHX +6.6%

PHX +3.3%

PHX +7.7%

ATL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	13.3	15.6	91.3	108.7	104.4
season	15.6	13.8		103.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	14.8	13.5	13.7	14.7
PHX	12.5	12.4	13.1	15.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.41	14	-32	46	14.7	14.6	0.07	14.3	12.9	1.43
Royal Ivey	33	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.38	12	-30	42	14.3	14.8	-0.50	14.3	12.9	1.43
Marvin Williams	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	14.3	15.3	-0.94	13.8	12.5	1.29
Tyronn Lue	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-1	-16	16.8	13.6	3.17	11.7	14.1	-2.41
Josh Childress	69	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.5	15.0	-0.45	13.5	12.9	0.53
Zaza Pachulia	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-7	-4	15.4	14.1	1.22	12.9	13.6	-0.71
Salim Stoudamire	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-4	-14	10	14.3	15.6	-1.31	13.9	11.8	2.06
Josh Smith	38	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	-1	-16	15.9	14.0	1.94	12.2	14.0	-1.70
Al Harrington	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.41	-27	9	-36	13.9	15.7	-1.84	13.0	13.7	-0.61
Joe Johnson	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	9	-36	14.2	15.6	-1.40	13.0	13.9	-0.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.51	32	-14	46	12.8	14.0	-1.20	14.8	14.5	0.28
Boris Diaw	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.21	21	-3	24	12.5	15.5	-2.98	15.0	14.0	0.99
Steve Nash	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.44	26	-8	34	12.9	13.8	-0.82	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Raja Bell	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.45	26	-8	34	13.2	13.4	-0.18	14.7	14.7	-0.04
James Jones	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	18	-18	13.5	13.0	0.49	14.8	14.5	0.27
Kurt Thomas	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.54	28	-10	38	13.2	13.4	-0.22	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Jim Jackson	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.43	-8	26	-34	13.7	13.0	0.73	15.3	14.2	1.15
Eddie House	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	16	-14	14.0	12.8	1.18	15.6	14.2	1.40
Pat Burke	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	28	-38	14.5	12.9	1.66	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Dijon Thompson	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	33	-48	14.3	13.1	1.21	12.5	15.1	-2.57
Sharrod Ford	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	30	-42	14.2	13.2	1.08	12.5	15.0	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, PHI 149	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
NYK 71, TOR 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NOH 104, PHX 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%