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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 106 Excitement7.6 [317] MVPChris Duhon (CHI): +23.9%
San Antonio Spurs 99 Comeback1.6 [375] LVPRasho Nesterovic (SAS): -10.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0.240,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.120.140.021175%0.271-0.032100%0.00
Andres Nocioni0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.100.13-0.01968%0.2300.001100%0.01
Luol Deng0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.07-0.001552%0.131-0.023100%0.02
Darius Songaila0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00475%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Othella Harrington0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00660%0.041-0.02333%-0.03
Ben Gordon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.001947%0.072-0.062100%0.00
Eddie Basden0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.01-0.06638%0.073-0.091100%0.01
Tyson Chandler-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00575%0.114-0.14250%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.011336%-0.1000.00250%-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.07-0.011152%0.1200.001100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.110.110.060.04-0.011059%0.131-0.01757%-0.02
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.001075%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00573%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.030.030.06-0.010.011463%0.183-0.151080%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.02542%0.021-0.0020%-0.03
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0050%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.050.031054%-0.013-0.09450%-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.01729%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.425.417.429.01.836.3136.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +45.8%
SAS -3.8%
CHI +7.4%
CHI +2.2%
SAS -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHISASNBACHISASNBA
this game14.015.715.6109.3102.1104.4
season14.416.3102.6106.0
opponent15.616.199.4102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.716.513.013.214.0
SAS16.915.514.216.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng67650.68-0.180.860.2415-82313.714.8-1.1615.815.30.52
Kirk Hinrich89890.52-0.020.540.1712-51714.113.10.9915.418.6-3.23
Ben Gordon67670.410.090.310.2070714.014.1-0.1515.715.60.13
Tyson Chandler57550.390.110.270.2161514.213.80.4416.914.02.89
Chris Duhon75760.380.120.260.3807-714.412.71.7415.615.9-0.25
Othella Harrington21210.150.35-0.210.0343112.414.5-2.0516.115.50.62
Michael Sweetney22250.140.36-0.220.0243113.414.2-0.8617.814.92.94
Eddie Basden110.000.50-0.500.09-310-134.014.1-10.145.015.8-10.77
Darius Songaila2425-0.050.55-0.610.00-29-1115.713.52.2815.015.9-0.94
Andres Nocioni6261-0.110.61-0.710.13-815-2314.014.1-0.1314.218.2-4.03

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel40400.09-0.590.68-0.065-121715.815.50.3215.113.31.82
Michael Finley6160-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-101315.316.3-0.9813.614.8-1.22
Rasho Nesterovic3837-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-91115.715.7-0.0014.713.61.09
Brent Barry3030-0.16-0.340.190.05-70-716.115.40.6913.014.5-1.44
Nazr Mohammed1819-0.17-0.330.150.03-70-718.315.13.2813.814.1-0.30
Tim Duncan7675-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-7715.516.2-0.6813.814.9-1.08
Tony Parker7270-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.20-5-2-314.818.0-3.1513.714.9-1.19
Bruce Bowen5452-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-6-1-516.514.71.8114.913.01.96
Manu Ginobili6466-0.500.00-0.51-0.30-70-715.815.30.4914.014.1-0.14
Robert Horry3236-0.590.09-0.69-0.21-136-1914.716.2-1.5013.814.2-0.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.25,0.42,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 98, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,093.2%
UTA 112, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,092.7%
LAL 91, PHX 820.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.01,092.6%