NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	7.0 [447]		MVP	Stromile Swift (HOU): +17.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	3.0 [227]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -9.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	18	51%	0.17	5	-0.16	13	100%	0.07
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jon Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.10	0.05	16	64%	0.23	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	42%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	5	69%	0.10	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	14	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	29.4	15.7	26.2	2.3	35.4	139.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +23.8%

HOU +5.0%

HOU +28.1%

MIN -3.5%

MIN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.6	110.6	104.7	104.4
season	16.1	16.1		99.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	16.1		103.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	16.5	18.9	15.4	16.3
MIN	17.3	19.5	17.1	16.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	55	55	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.45	10	-5	15	16.1	16.7	-0.65	16.6	19.5	-2.88
Juwan Howard	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	16.1	16.7	-0.70	16.3	20.1	-3.85
Yao Ming	49	50	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.45	-1	6	-7	15.7	17.0	-1.29	17.8	17.3	0.49
Jon Barry	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	15.6	16.9	-1.31	18.0	17.2	0.79
Tracy McGrady	69	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	8	-11	15.9	17.7	-1.81	17.1	19.4	-2.27
Dikembe Mutombo	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	-2	9	17.9	15.2	2.76	18.1	17.3	0.85
Derek Anderson	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	0	5	17.4	15.0	2.37	18.2	16.9	1.25
Ryan Bowen	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	1.5	16.6	-15.14	4.0	17.9	-13.93
David Wesley	43	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	5	-5	16.6	16.0	0.65	18.6	16.5	2.12
Stromile Swift	28	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	16.7	16.1	0.70	20.1	16.3	3.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	46	47	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-10	15	17.5	17.7	-0.17	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Richie Frahm	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	4.0	17.9	-13.93	1.5	16.6	-15.14
Anthony Carter	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	25.2	16.8	8.44	16.9	16.2	0.65
Michael Olowokandi	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-11	17	17.6	17.7	-0.08	15.3	18.3	-3.04
Wally Szczerbiak	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	16.9	19.1	-2.18	15.7	17.6	-1.97
Trenton Hassell	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-12	19	17.4	17.9	-0.42	16.5	16.0	0.43
Kevin Garnett	70	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-8	11	17.3	19.0	-1.70	15.8	18.9	-3.12
Ronald Dupree	25	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	5	-15	16.8	17.9	-1.08	16.5	16.2	0.29
Eddie Griffin	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	4	-13	18.3	17.4	0.98	18.7	15.5	3.23
Mark Madsen	23	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	5	-15	18.6	17.2	1.32	18.3	15.6	2.66
Rashad McCants	26	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	5	-15	18.3	17.3	1.02	18.2	15.5	2.66
Troy Hudson	39	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	5	-15	17.7	17.5	0.17	16.7	15.9	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 81, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.25,0.17,0	91.5%
SAC 101, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.48,0.15,0.27,0	91.5%
BOS 92, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.16,0	91.3%