NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	9.6 [102]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +90.2%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	18.8 [73]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -46.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.90	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0,0.9	0.02	0.89	0.00	12	59%	1.05	4	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.00	16	58%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	14	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.22	0.01	-0.23	-0.00	13	61%	-0.07	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.46	-0.07	-0.39	-0.00	7	25%	-0.46	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.01	6	86%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	0.09	-0.01	11	27%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.25,-0.21,-0.21,0.04,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	21	39%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	11	33%	-0.20	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	31.4	19.6	23.8	2.0	39.1	144.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.8%

MEM +24.5%

ATL -5.1%

ATL -2.7%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.6	96.6	96.6	104.4
season	17.1	15.6		103.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	16.1	17.2	18.2	16.9
ATL	16.6	17.4	16.3	13.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	64	65	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.39	20	-19	39	17.2	16.1	1.05	16.2	15.5	0.76
Bobby Jackson	65	64	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.32	21	-20	41	16.4	18.2	-1.80	16.0	16.0	0.03
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.37	15	-14	29	16.9	16.7	0.21	15.6	17.7	-2.04
Shane Battier	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-10	21	16.7	18.1	-1.40	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Lorenzen Wright	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-11	23	16.7	17.2	-0.47	16.4	15.4	0.94
Lawrence Roberts	3	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.3	16.9	-1.61	12.5	16.1	-3.61
Mike Miller	49	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.48	-19	20	-39	17.6	16.0	1.59	15.4	16.8	-1.49
John Thomas	7	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	16.7	16.9	-0.19	21.5	15.6	5.88
Hakim Warrick	13	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	12	-23	16.6	16.9	-0.32	16.8	15.9	0.94
Dahntay Jones	16	14	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.06	-15	16	-31	15.6	17.2	-1.62	16.7	15.9	0.82
Antonio Burks	23	23	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.15	-20	21	-41	18.2	16.4	1.80	16.0	16.0	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	22	23	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.13	16	-17	33	17.1	15.7	1.43	17.8	16.6	1.27
Esteban Batista	12	13	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-6	11	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.9	16.9	0.04
Josh Smith	57	58	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-8	15	16.1	15.9	0.24	16.6	17.4	-0.73
Royal Ivey	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	3	-7	17.0	16.0	1.02	13.0	17.1	-4.07
Salim Stoudamire	50	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.55	17	-18	35	15.7	16.5	-0.85	17.3	16.4	0.95
Donta Smith	5	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	5	-11	16.0	16.0	-0.02	12.7	17.2	-4.53
Marvin Williams	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-12	23	14.8	16.9	-2.03	17.2	16.7	0.57
Josh Childress	19	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	8	-17	17.5	15.6	1.86	17.8	16.6	1.25
Tyronn Lue	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	17	-35	16.9	15.3	1.67	16.6	17.1	-0.56
Joe Johnson	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-4	7	15.7	19.1	-3.39	17.0	15.7	1.31
Al Harrington	45	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	9	-19	16.4	15.7	0.69	17.1	16.7	0.36
Zaza Pachulia	65	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.34	-17	16	-33	15.7	17.1	-1.43	16.6	17.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, LAL 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.42,0	90.1%
ORL 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.7,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.27,0	89.8%
NOH 88, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.28,0	89.8%