NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	8.1 [255]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +18.7%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	2.9 [726]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (DAL): -17.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.12	0.02	17	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
DeSagana Diop	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	13	34%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	17	40%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	11	44%	-0.02	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.13	0.03	17	69%	0.39	5	-0.21	5	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	14	62%	0.20	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.06
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	3	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.9	2.3	30.3	15.6	29.4	1.7	34.7	151.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +74.9%

DAL -2.9%

DAL -4.6%

DAL -14.1%

DAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.7	15.6	90.1	102.2	104.4
season	16.4	17.0		109.0	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	17.2	14.0	13.6	14.9
UTA	19.2	13.5	17.3	17.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	49	47	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.09	14	-25	39	14.2	15.8	-1.56	14.8	18.7	-3.92
Devin Harris	27	28	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-16	21	16.0	14.5	1.50	15.1	17.4	-2.31
Darrell Armstrong	13	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-13	15	12.8	15.3	-2.54	10.7	17.5	-6.80
Marquis Daniels	46	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-14	17	14.9	15.0	-0.02	14.6	19.0	-4.40
Erick Dampier	25	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	4	-19	16.1	14.5	1.56	19.2	15.7	3.48
Keith Van Horn	61	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-6	1	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.5	19.4	-3.94
Josh Howard	55	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	5	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.55	18.6	14.0	4.56
Dirk Nowitzki	67	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.24	-13	2	-15	14.6	16.0	-1.43	17.0	15.9	1.12
Doug Christie	56	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	4	-19	15.5	14.1	1.40	18.9	13.7	5.23
Jason Terry	56	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.24	-15	4	-19	15.2	14.5	0.75	18.0	14.5	3.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-6	23	17.7	11.8	5.93	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Deron Williams	52	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-6	23	15.1	18.9	-3.79	15.3	14.5	0.76
Mehmet Okur	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-3	17	18.0	12.7	5.24	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Matt Harpring	44	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	6	-1	13.4	19.8	-6.33	16.1	13.9	2.22
Jarron Collins	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	9	-7	16.0	17.5	-1.45	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Milt Palacio	15	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	8	-5	16.4	16.8	-0.36	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Devin Brown	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	7	-3	12.7	19.0	-6.24	17.0	13.8	3.18
Greg Ostertag	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	4	3	20.1	14.8	5.28	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Kris Humphries	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	13	-15	10.5	17.6	-7.15	15.9	14.8	1.14
Gordan Giricek	38	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	17	-23	19.3	14.8	4.44	14.2	15.5	-1.22
Keith McLeod	38	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	17	-23	19.3	14.8	4.44	14.2	15.5	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.57,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.92,1	92.0%
HOU 110, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%
CHA 79, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	90.9%