NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	10.7 [51]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +47.8%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	226.3 [4]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -19.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.48	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.48	-0.04	0.52	0.00	20	47%	0.54	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.14
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	21	60%	0.27	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	10	59%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.01	0.06	0.04	9	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	11	69%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.08	0.17	-0.05	15	37%	0.17	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	12	48%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	70%	0.06	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	25	54%	0.23	6	-0.25	6	100%	0.17
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	8	31%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	11	36%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.8	2.8	31.2	19.5	27.4	2.7	39.5	1.8	20.0	2.8	13.5	185.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +79.4%

PHX -37.6%

DAL +21.0%

PHX -6.9%

PHX -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.6	96.5	92.3	104.4
season	16.4	13.8		109.0	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		105.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	18.3	15.2	16.0	12.6	14.7	15.4
PHX	13.0	11.4	14.0	16.2	16.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	73	73	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.72	10	-7	17	15.2	17.0	-1.73	15.3	12.3	2.99
Jason Terry	70	74	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-9	21	15.7	16.1	-0.46	14.8	13.1	1.73
Josh Howard	99	101	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-5	13	15.7	16.9	-1.26	14.6	11.1	3.52
Dirk Nowitzki	95	97	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	15.9	15.6	0.24	14.3	13.5	0.80
Darrell Armstrong	30	28	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-14	31	12.2	17.2	-4.99	17.0	13.3	3.78
DeSagana Diop	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	17.5	15.7	1.80	11.9	14.4	-2.47
Marquis Daniels	69	70	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	15	-27	16.3	15.1	1.20	13.5	15.1	-1.65
Doug Christie	50	52	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	6	-9	17.1	14.9	2.28	12.4	15.6	-3.23
Erick Dampier	45	45	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.15	-2	5	-7	16.1	15.7	0.43	12.8	15.0	-2.18
Devin Harris	34	35	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.04	-17	20	-37	17.5	15.1	2.38	12.8	14.8	-1.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	49	50	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.18	1	-4	5	12.6	15.3	-2.77	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Brian Grant	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-8	13	11.6	14.4	-2.79	17.1	15.7	1.37
Eddie House	11	12	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-7	11	11.8	14.4	-2.59	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Leandro Barbosa	34	34	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.30	12	-15	27	13.4	14.5	-1.02	17.3	15.2	2.09
Boris Diaw	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.24	4	-7	11	14.3	14.1	0.23	16.3	15.5	0.79
Jim Jackson	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-4	5	14.9	13.5	1.34	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Shawn Marion	96	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.5	12.8	1.71	16.0	15.2	0.83
Raja Bell	97	94	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	7	-17	14.7	11.4	3.33	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Steve Nash	88	86	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	10	-23	14.6	12.9	1.73	15.7	16.2	-0.43
James Jones	97	94	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.42	-12	9	-21	14.1	14.7	-0.65	15.5	17.4	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.89,0.91,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.84,0.9,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.59,1	87.1%
OKC 95, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.91,0.92,1	86.5%
BOS 134, LAC 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.71,0.77,0.95,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.78,0.15,0.46,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.42,0	86.5%