inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 77 Excitement2.4 [1270] MVPChris Duhon (CHI): +11.7%
Chicago Bulls 117 Comeback1.1 [1216] LVPMario Kasun (ORL): -7.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Barrett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04729%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Hunter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08430%0.002-0.00250%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.041062%-0.0110.00475%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.091838%-0.013-0.02333%-0.01
Tony Battie-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03550%0.003-0.032100%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03650%-0.004-0.05250%-0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.06911%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Steve Francis-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.061640%-0.042-0.02850%-0.03
Mario Kasun-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.120.00-0.05619%-0.0710.00425%-0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.000.028106%0.132-0.0100%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001064%0.032-0.00250%-0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.07793%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00950%0.0100.002100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001353%0.011-0.01683%0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jared Reiner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01950%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.011359%0.023-0.043100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03948%-0.011-0.01729%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game526.22.331.515.829.12.227.7634.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +31.3%
CHI +6.0%
CHI +11.5%
CHI +2.0%
ORL -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game14.014.515.576.2115.8104.0
season14.315.1102.9100.1
opponent15.415.598.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL11.314.914.016.014.0
CHI16.015.714.312.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Barrett3940-0.01-0.490.480.31-11-291813.714.2-0.5313.615.1-1.49
Brandon Hunter3132-0.01-0.490.470.28-10-302014.813.61.1813.415.1-1.68
Mario Kasun2828-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-414211.315.0-3.6917.213.53.77
Stacey Augmon3940-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-393812.914.6-1.7016.213.42.77
Pat Garrity2019-0.06-0.440.370.32-13-271415.713.62.1311.615.2-3.56
Mark Jones2427-0.11-0.390.290.22-11-291814.114.00.1214.014.7-0.72
Kelvin Cato3231-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-302012.714.6-1.8617.013.43.52
Dwight Howard4445-0.32-0.18-0.140.44-26-14-1214.014.00.0213.815.1-1.31
Tony Battie4747-0.35-0.15-0.190.30-22-18-415.213.02.2113.915.0-1.10
Steve Francis7270-0.39-0.11-0.290.28-23-17-613.714.7-0.9315.013.41.64
DeShawn Stevenson7270-0.42-0.08-0.350.51-32-8-2414.413.01.3414.315.1-0.83
Jameer Nelson5756-0.510.01-0.530.72-422-4414.713.01.7113.915.3-1.38

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Davis52510.51-0.010.53-0.2526141215.613.42.2513.314.7-1.49
Chris Duhon52530.470.030.44-0.473282414.714.30.4613.614.5-0.89
Eric Piatkowski65650.280.230.05-0.4926141214.913.90.9414.213.50.72
Kirk Hinrich53520.260.240.02-0.121327-1414.714.40.2913.814.2-0.34
Andres Nocioni61600.240.26-0.02-0.201525-1013.615.9-2.3613.614.5-0.92
Othella Harrington54550.240.26-0.02-0.5226141213.515.7-2.2413.914.1-0.14
Ben Gordon46460.230.27-0.03-0.061030-2015.813.42.4313.714.3-0.62
Tyson Chandler56570.230.27-0.04-0.362020015.413.42.0715.112.62.48
Jannero Pargo36360.040.46-0.42-0.491822-412.815.5-2.7115.713.02.65
Adrian Griffin15150.000.50-0.50-0.21733-2613.414.7-1.3213.014.2-1.16
Jared Reiner15150.000.50-0.50-0.21733-2613.414.7-1.3213.014.2-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 77, WAS 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
POR 75, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
VAN 84, DEN 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%