NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	10.9 [40]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +39.9%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	61.9 [15]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -49.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.4	0.07	0.32	-0.01	20	60%	0.44	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	14	47%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	8	63%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.06
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.04	-0.26	0.02	11	46%	-0.27	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.50	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.5,-0.5	-0.32	-0.21	-0.03	17	16%	-0.36	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.05	0.00	14	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Reiner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.28,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	0.00	21	36%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.39	-0.39	-0.04	-0.36	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	4	-0.47	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.4	-0.40	-0.14	-0.27	-0.01	18	34%	-0.33	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	27.1	14.8	24.2	2.4	28.5	2.7	23.8	148.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.1%

CHI -20.8%

CHI -28.5%

DET +44.7%

DET +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	87.6	86.6	104.0
season	16.7	15.1		103.5	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		98.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	18.3	17.0	16.5	16.3	13.1	16.6
CHI	16.0	17.3	15.5	15.6	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	84	82	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-4	9	16.2	19.6	-3.42	16.4	14.5	1.97
Ben Wallace	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-3	7	17.3	12.9	4.40	16.6	13.6	3.00
Lindsey Hunter	26	27	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	17.5	16.4	1.11	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Richard Hamilton	71	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	0	1	16.2	18.0	-1.85	16.1	16.3	-0.24
Rasheed Wallace	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	1	-1	15.8	19.2	-3.34	16.6	14.7	1.84
Tayshaun Prince	82	81	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	0	1	16.9	15.5	1.40	16.5	14.4	2.11
Antonio McDyess	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	3	-5	16.8	16.6	0.20	14.3	17.4	-3.05
Carlos Arroyo	28	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	7	-13	17.9	16.1	1.75	16.3	16.1	0.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-5	9	16.3	16.1	0.22	17.6	16.4	1.20
Adrian Griffin	21	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-5	9	16.5	16.0	0.44	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Jared Reiner	4	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	9.5	16.4	-6.92	19.3	16.6	2.77
Eric Piatkowski	30	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.10	4	-5	9	13.9	17.1	-3.28	17.5	16.2	1.36
Ben Gordon	63	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-7	13	15.3	17.7	-2.42	17.1	15.9	1.27
Othella Harrington	50	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	17.0	15.3	1.70	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Andres Nocioni	84	84	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	0	-1	16.6	13.4	3.17	16.3	18.7	-2.36
Tyson Chandler	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-4	7	15.4	16.9	-1.56	17.1	16.1	0.99
Antonio Davis	58	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	7	-15	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.7	16.5	0.24
Kirk Hinrich	73	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	5	-11	16.6	14.7	1.89	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Chris Duhon	29	29	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.53	-10	9	-19	17.2	15.7	1.53	15.7	17.1	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.94,0.98,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 116, LAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.78,0.73,0	88.3%
NYK 113, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.37,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.85,0.98,0	88.1%
SAS 112, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.77,0.84,0	87.6%