NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.2 [1014]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +9.8%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	2.0 [313]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -15.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.03	11	73%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	78%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	79%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Rodney White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.01	0.08	9	62%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Baron Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	41%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	63%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	9	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.08	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	-0.00	11	38%	-0.11	2	-0.05	12	58%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	28.7	14.7	26.0	1.8	30.0	131.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +50.6%

UTA -0.6%

UTA -2.5%

GSW +1.1%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.5	113.7	95.8	104.0
season	15.0	16.7		102.3	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	14.7	14.8	15.5	14.1
UTA	16.5	15.9	17.9	14.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	54	53	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.17	24	-7	31	14.9	13.2	1.72	16.4	15.9	0.52
Derek Fisher	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	-3	23	13.9	15.0	-1.16	15.9	17.2	-1.31
Mickael Pietrus	53	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	4	9	14.7	13.5	1.25	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Adonal Foyle	31	28	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	2	13	13.9	14.2	-0.31	19.6	14.7	4.83
Zarko Cabarkapa	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	7	3	14.4	13.9	0.45	16.5	15.9	0.63
Baron Davis	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	10	-3	13.6	15.0	-1.35	16.4	15.9	0.49
Troy Murphy	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	5	7	13.5	15.1	-1.62	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Andris Biedrins	39	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	15	-13	14.0	14.3	-0.29	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Mike Dunleavy	48	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	23	-29	13.2	15.1	-1.81	16.5	15.8	0.69
Rodney White	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	17.6	13.7	3.86	13.9	16.4	-2.54
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	17.7	13.8	3.93	13.9	16.4	-2.50

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	24	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-21	25	13.4	17.1	-3.74	14.2	14.1	0.11
Ben Handlogten	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-13	9	13.9	17.8	-3.88	15.3	13.4	1.88
Randy Livingston	36	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-10	3	15.8	16.4	-0.54	15.2	13.5	1.69
Keith McLeod	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-12	7	16.1	16.2	-0.08	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Mehmet Okur	55	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	-7	-3	17.7	14.1	3.57	13.2	15.5	-2.25
Matt Harpring	53	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-2	-13	17.5	14.4	3.12	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Kris Humphries	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-12	7	14.4	17.3	-2.87	15.1	13.6	1.58
Curtis Borchardt	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-7	-3	17.9	15.1	2.82	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Howard Eisley	26	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-3	-11	18.6	15.3	3.32	14.5	14.0	0.54
Gordan Giricek	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-9	1	15.3	18.9	-3.62	14.1	14.4	-0.38
Kirk Snyder	39	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-6	-5	16.6	15.9	0.76	15.2	13.4	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NOH 93, PHI 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 114, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%