NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	7.1 [432]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +18.5%
Orlando Magic	116		Comeback	3.2 [193]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -21.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	18	71%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	17	70%	0.24	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	68%	0.15	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	52%	-0.04	5	-0.11	13	62%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	19	60%	0.11	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	17	50%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.21	-0.02	-0.02	17	40%	-0.04	6	-0.18	9	78%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.0	1.8	31.2	15.8	27.1	2.4	34.2	591.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.6%

PHX +14.3%

ORL -6.1%

ORL -11.3%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	15.5	113.5	111.5	104.0
season	13.5	14.3		112.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		105.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.2	12.8	12.5	16.1	13.4
ORL	14.5	17.2	14.2	11.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	77	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	13.6	12.7	0.96	13.9	15.4	-1.42
Joe Johnson	97	96	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	13.3	14.6	-1.28	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-11	24	12.9	14.9	-2.01	15.3	11.3	4.06
Steve Nash	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-3	8	13.3	13.6	-0.25	15.0	12.6	2.35
Jim Jackson	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	9	-16	14.5	12.0	2.51	12.5	16.6	-4.12
Leandro Barbosa	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	3	-4	12.8	13.7	-0.85	13.8	14.6	-0.75
Walter McCarty	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.22	-3	5	-8	12.8	13.6	-0.81	15.6	13.8	1.81
Quentin Richardson	41	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-4	10	12.5	14.0	-1.50	16.2	13.0	3.15
Steven Hunter	30	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	15	-28	14.8	12.8	2.00	11.3	15.5	-4.12

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jones	4	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	19.2	14.1	5.13	13.7	13.4	0.30
Pat Garrity	3	3	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-2	2	6.3	14.6	-8.22	12.7	13.4	-0.73
Stacey Augmon	40	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-6	10	13.7	14.7	-0.92	12.9	13.7	-0.78
Mario Kasun	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	16.9	14.0	2.94	14.7	13.2	1.55
Jameer Nelson	57	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.52	13	-15	28	13.2	15.7	-2.57	13.8	12.8	1.06
Tony Battie	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	2	-6	11.8	14.6	-2.79	11.3	13.6	-2.35
Kelvin Cato	62	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	15.2	13.0	2.29	13.4	13.3	0.18
Steve Francis	86	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-4	6	14.7	12.7	2.00	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Dwight Howard	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	9	-20	14.2	14.7	-0.54	13.1	14.3	-1.25
DeShawn Stevenson	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	8	-18	14.5	13.8	0.77	13.8	12.3	1.46
Grant Hill	91	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.3	14.7	-0.43	13.3	14.2	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 112, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
ATL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.2%
LAC 116, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%