NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	9.7 [89]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +47.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	4.0 [198]		LVP	Joel Przybilla (POR): -28.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.41,0.47	0.14	0.34	0.01	10	81%	0.47	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Ronald Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Ray Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	19	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.04
Jerome James	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	13	52%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Luke Ridnour	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	11	52%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	58%	0.00	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.00	12	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	17	53%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	11	71%	0.07	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.24	0.00	13	47%	-0.28	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.12	-0.01	4	17%	-0.12	4	-0.17	4	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	31.0	14.6	26.2	2.3	36.5	136.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -0.2%

SEA +12.3%

SEA +52.0%

POR -18.7%

SEA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	17.5	15.0	15.5	107.9	103.4	104.0
season	16.5	15.8		109.5	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	23.5	16.1	15.9	15.8	17.5
POR	14.4	13.2	15.4	17.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	55	55	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.40	20	-15	35	15.3	21.1	-5.74	15.3	14.4	0.95
Luke Ridnour	68	68	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.43	19	-14	33	17.3	18.2	-0.91	15.4	13.6	1.80
Jerome James	43	42	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-9	23	18.5	16.6	1.93	16.5	13.6	2.89
Ray Allen	71	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	17.7	16.7	1.02	15.6	12.9	2.70
Reggie Evans	39	40	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-9	23	19.3	16.2	3.15	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Nick Collison	52	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.30	-8	13	-21	16.9	18.5	-1.62	15.5	14.1	1.40
Rashard Lewis	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	24.2	16.1	8.18	12.9	15.5	-2.54
Vitaly Potapenko	9	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	11	-17	13.7	18.0	-4.31	11.6	15.3	-3.70
Antonio Daniels	45	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	15	-25	16.3	18.8	-2.53	13.4	16.7	-3.25
Danny Fortson	28	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	14	-23	18.2	17.2	0.98	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Ronald Murray	19	17	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.08	-14	19	-33	18.0	17.4	0.59	14.1	15.2	-1.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	59	58	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-9	13	14.4	16.1	-1.71	19.0	14.9	4.09
Viktor Khryapa	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	17.0	14.7	2.33	17.1	17.6	-0.54
Ruben Patterson	61	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-14	23	14.8	15.3	-0.50	16.3	20.3	-4.01
Richie Frahm	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	1	-7	13.3	15.2	-1.96	13.0	18.2	-5.18
Damon Stoudamire	66	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-11	17	15.2	14.5	0.65	18.1	15.8	2.26
Derek Anderson	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.8	15.5	-0.78	16.1	20.9	-4.78
Sebastian Telfair	39	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	8	-21	15.2	14.9	0.30	18.9	16.4	2.51
Joel Przybilla	69	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	3	-11	15.4	13.3	2.13	18.0	16.2	1.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	15.0	14.9	0.14	17.8	16.8	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.42,0	91.0%
BKN 101, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.28,0	90.5%
SAC 89, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.14,0.2,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.27,0	90.2%