NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	102		Excitement	6.1 [644]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +22.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.4 [436]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): -11.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23	0.13	0.06	-0.03	15	75%	0.28	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	17	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	14	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	23	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.07	0.06	21	57%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	14	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	30.1	15.5	29.2	1.8	40.6	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +33.5%

SEA +19.8%

LAL -3.0%

SEA +0.0%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.5	113.3	108.7	104.0
season	16.5	15.7		109.5	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.6	13.5	19.7	16.0	16.3
LAL	14.1	17.8	15.5	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	16.7	15.5	1.16	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Rashard Lewis	79	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	16.3	16.5	-0.14	15.1	17.1	-1.99
Ronald Murray	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	4	-6	16.4	16.2	0.23	15.4	15.0	0.40
Reggie Evans	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-8	18	17.0	15.6	1.42	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Damien Wilkins	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-7	16	14.5	17.1	-2.61	17.2	14.5	2.77
Antonio Daniels	57	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.6	17.5	-1.91	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Vitaly Potapenko	52	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	7	-12	17.0	15.4	1.62	15.5	15.2	0.28
Ray Allen	19	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	16.1	16.4	-0.29	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Nick Collison	41	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	5	-8	16.4	16.3	0.10	15.6	15.1	0.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	12	13	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.21	12	-14	26	14.0	15.5	-1.53	12.3	17.0	-4.71
Luke Walton	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-3	4	15.6	15.3	0.37	13.2	17.0	-3.83
Brian Grant	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.2	0.55	17.6	15.9	1.76
Slava Medvedenko	33	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	6	-14	15.4	15.3	0.11	17.3	15.8	1.51
Chris Mihm	64	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	0	-2	15.8	14.3	1.50	16.7	15.5	1.25
Jumaine Jones	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	3	-8	15.7	15.1	0.61	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Kobe Bryant	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	15.0	16.7	-1.65	17.0	13.0	4.00
Chucky Atkins	80	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.3	15.6	-0.30	16.2	17.3	-1.14
Caron Butler	81	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.1	16.9	-1.80	16.0	18.3	-2.31
Tierre Brown	39	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	6	-14	15.3	15.3	-0.03	16.5	16.2	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
MIN 112, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.9%
BOS 92, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%