NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	8.3 [236]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +74.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	116		Comeback	16.0 [49]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -13.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.75	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.75	0.09	0.65	-0.00	24	60%	0.82	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.36	0.17	0.21	0.01	18	68%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	7	94%	0.32	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	70%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.25,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	0.00	12	62%	0.22	0	0.00	10	90%	0.07
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.00	22	60%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.00	7	86%	0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	39%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	25.2	15.7	26.1	1.7	35.6	131.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +79.0%

CHA -15.8%

LAL +10.8%

CHA -22.7%

CHA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.5	123.2	124.7	104.0
season	15.7	15.5		105.8	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	17.1	15.9	16.0	15.8
CHA	17.1	13.5	15.4	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	71	72	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.53	12	-11	23	15.4	17.0	-1.55	15.4	12.9	2.55
Kobe Bryant	87	86	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-9	19	15.5	19.0	-3.49	15.1	11.1	3.99
Luke Walton	9	8	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.70	-7	8	-15	16.9	15.7	1.20	9.7	15.3	-5.56
Tierre Brown	35	32	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.51	-3	4	-7	16.7	15.2	1.49	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Lamar Odom	73	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	15.9	15.6	0.27	15.5	12.7	2.81
Slava Medvedenko	8	9	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	-6	13	15.2	15.9	-0.60	12.1	15.1	-3.01
Caron Butler	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	-5	11	15.1	16.6	-1.51	16.7	12.5	4.23
Chris Mihm	56	57	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.20	7	-6	13	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.9	13.2	2.67
Brian Cook	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	6	-11	15.8	15.8	-0.02	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Jumaine Jones	34	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	10	-19	16.9	15.2	1.64	12.3	16.1	-3.84
Brian Grant	36	33	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	13	-25	16.4	15.4	0.99	13.0	15.8	-2.88

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	38	38	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.14	4	-5	9	13.3	15.9	-2.65	16.3	15.5	0.77
Matt Carroll	17	19	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-9	17	12.4	15.4	-2.96	15.9	15.8	0.18
Malik Allen	29	30	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-8	15	11.4	16.4	-4.91	16.6	15.4	1.17
Bernard Robinson	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	27.0	14.6	12.44	9.5	15.9	-6.44
Jason Kapono	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-7	13	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.9	15.7	0.26
Primoz Brezec	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	7	-15	16.7	13.0	3.74	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Emeka Okafor	78	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-4	7	15.4	11.9	3.45	15.9	15.4	0.44
Brevin Knight	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.64	6	-7	13	13.6	17.6	-3.93	16.5	14.4	2.09
Keith Bogans	57	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	8	-17	15.6	13.6	1.94	15.6	16.1	-0.41
Theron Smith	49	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.0	1.49	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Jason Hart	45	45	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.51	-16	15	-31	16.0	13.7	2.23	15.1	16.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.92,0	90.6%
HOU 85, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,0	90.5%
IND 81, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.69,0.72,0	90.4%