NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	3.1 [1196]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (MIA): +9.4%
Miami Heat	108		Comeback	1.1 [1200]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -12.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	89%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	64%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	19	56%	0.02	6	-0.12	10	80%	0.03
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	69%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	81%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	92%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	14	63%	0.09	5	-0.09	23	78%	0.04
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	30.5	16.7	29.6	1.8	31.2	140.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.1%

PHI -2.3%

MIA +8.5%

MIA +1.9%

MIA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	13.8	17.2	15.5	107.5	116.1	104.0
season	13.9	15.7		101.1	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	13.2	14.2	12.8	13.8
MIA	15.2	15.1	17.1	22.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-16	24	10.2	14.1	-3.83	19.0	17.0	1.95
Willie Green	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.42	14	-22	36	11.3	14.5	-3.20	22.2	15.5	6.73
John Salmons	23	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-21	34	11.3	14.5	-3.20	22.3	15.3	6.98
Josh Davis	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-15	22	10.0	14.2	-4.15	19.1	17.0	2.09
Aaron McKie	15	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	12.5	14.0	-1.45	16.3	17.4	-1.05
Marc Jackson	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	12.0	14.7	-2.67	18.0	16.8	1.19
Chris Webber	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	2	-12	14.9	12.3	2.57	16.7	17.9	-1.19
Samuel Dalembert	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	14.7	12.0	2.67	16.8	18.0	-1.19
Rodney Rogers	36	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	12.9	14.3	-1.32	17.4	17.1	0.35
Andre Iguodala	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	7	-22	15.0	11.4	3.61	15.5	20.1	-4.62
Allen Iverson	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	8	-24	14.1	10.2	3.83	17.0	19.0	-1.95
Kyle Korver	61	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	17	-42	14.7	12.0	2.67	15.0	21.2	-6.20

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-3	14	17.3	17.0	0.36	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Udonis Haslem	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-5	18	17.1	17.4	-0.22	14.5	12.0	2.50
Dwyane Wade	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	17.0	18.3	-1.32	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Keyon Dooling	32	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	4	0	17.4	17.1	0.34	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Shaquille O'Neal	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	-4	16	16.3	18.3	-2.02	15.4	11.8	3.56
Eddie Jones	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	9	-10	17.3	17.1	0.17	14.5	13.1	1.45
Damon Jones	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	7	-6	17.2	17.2	0.06	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Christian Laettner	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	11	-14	17.0	17.3	-0.33	11.7	14.8	-3.15
Michael Doleac	34	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	9	-10	18.6	16.4	2.16	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Alonzo Mourning	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	18.9	17.1	1.78	10.2	14.1	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 75, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
BOS 73, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 77, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%