NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	120		Excitement	11.9 [19]		MVP	Delonte West (BOS): +22.5%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	5.8 [155]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -42.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.02	12	73%	0.35	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.00	3	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	17	58%	0.15	2	-0.15	9	100%	0.10
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	52%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	62%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Marcus Banks	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	7	44%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.43	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.08,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.47,-0.47,-0.43	-0.13	-0.29	0.01	32	45%	-0.25	4	-0.18	10	80%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	5	92%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	14	73%	0.13	4	-0.11	9	100%	0.06
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	17	47%	-0.00	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	19	36%	0.01	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	5	43%	-0.05	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.07	-0.27	-0.01	22	42%	-0.30	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.13	-0.21	-0.00	3	15%	-0.29	1	-0.05	7	29%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	31.3	2.7	27.4	15.7	30.5	0.7	34.5	1.5	18.2	162.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.5%

BOS +16.8%

PHX -19.2%

BOS +7.8%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	15.5	106.2	103.7	104.0
season	14.4	13.5		104.7	112.9
opponent	16.0	16.0		106.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.0	12.6	16.0	16.4	16.5	14.6
PHX	12.7	15.1	12.8	16.4	13.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	68	65	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-6	19	14.2	15.2	-1.00	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Ricky Davis	109	105	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-1	9	14.7	10.7	3.97	14.2	11.7	2.40
Delonte West	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	4	-1	14.9	13.8	1.13	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Paul Pierce	100	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-1	9	14.6	14.6	-0.05	14.2	13.2	0.98
Antoine Walker	97	93	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	1	5	14.5	14.9	-0.35	13.2	18.8	-5.57
Kendrick Perkins	6	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	3	1	9.7	14.9	-5.18	15.6	14.0	1.61
Mark Blount	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	12	-17	14.2	14.7	-0.54	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Al Jefferson	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	14.7	14.6	0.10	16.7	13.7	3.02
Raef LaFrentz	67	65	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.27	-3	10	-13	15.0	13.9	1.08	14.8	12.9	1.94

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	59	59	0.49	-0.99	1.48	-0.04	18	-25	43	13.7	14.5	-0.81	14.9	14.2	0.71
Steven Hunter	35	36	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.31	2	-9	11	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.6	14.1	1.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	53	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	13.9	14.2	-0.35	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Shawn Marion	95	99	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	1	-9	13.8	15.8	-1.98	14.6	14.3	0.33
Walter McCarty	44	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	-5	3	12.9	14.9	-2.01	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Quentin Richardson	88	90	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.20	-17	10	-27	14.1	13.8	0.37	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Leandro Barbosa	79	85	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	8	-23	14.7	12.3	2.43	14.9	13.6	1.24
Joe Johnson	92	96	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	6	-19	13.9	14.8	-0.90	14.4	15.8	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.09,0	89.2%
CLE 132, MEM 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.45,0.43,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.16,0.01,0	88.3%
DET 103, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.77,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.04,0	87.8%