NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	4.5 [943]		MVP	Robert Traylor (CLE): +6.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.2 [1083]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -20.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Collier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	11	48%	0.00	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	27%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.04	0.03	24	41%	-0.12	4	-0.08	3	0%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	13	66%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	11	46%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.01	0.08	20	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	18	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	28.5	16.3	25.5	2.3	23.7	120.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.1%

CLE +5.2%

CLE +12.1%

CLE +5.3%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.5	98.9	122.0	104.0
season	15.6	16.2		98.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	13.9	16.5	17.1	15.7
CLE	16.8	13.8	16.2	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-16	10	14.4	16.3	-1.95	12.8	17.5	-4.71
Obinna Ekezie	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-22	22	16.2	14.8	1.38	16.9	14.7	2.13
Donta Smith	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-10	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.55	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Josh Smith	64	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.05	-11	-11	0	15.7	15.7	0.00	16.4	15.2	1.22
Josh Childress	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-13	4	15.7	15.7	0.04	16.9	10.2	6.72
Boris Diaw	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	16.7	14.3	2.42	17.9	13.1	4.83
Antoine Walker	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	-1	-20	15.4	17.4	-1.92	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Tony Delk	36	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-5	-12	16.2	15.4	0.77	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Jason Collier	32	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	0	-22	14.8	16.2	-1.38	14.7	16.9	-2.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	72	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-5	32	15.4	18.6	-3.15	15.4	17.0	-1.56
Sasha Pavlovic	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-4	30	16.4	15.7	0.60	16.1	15.3	0.80
Jeff McInnis	68	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	4	14	16.7	14.3	2.39	15.5	16.4	-0.98
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	0	22	15.9	16.3	-0.44	15.9	15.5	0.45
Drew Gooden	65	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.15	16	6	10	16.3	15.6	0.66	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Robert Traylor	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	16	-10	16.7	15.7	1.05	16.3	15.4	0.91
DeSagana Diop	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	22	-22	15.2	16.5	-1.31	15.9	15.7	0.24
Jerome Moiso	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	18.0	15.9	2.12	19.9	15.3	4.62
Eric Snow	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	22	-22	15.8	16.3	-0.52	15.8	15.7	0.09
Lucious Harris	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	26	-30	15.7	16.4	-0.60	15.3	16.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 72, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 105, CHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.6%