NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	5.4 [761]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +28.9%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.7 [844]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -18.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.03	19	63%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	8	88%	0.17	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	73%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Sampson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bernard Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.05	0.05	10	71%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	0.00	8	100%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.01	9	80%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	10	67%	0.18	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	80%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	9	33%	-0.09	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	55%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	11	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	24.6	15.6	24.2	1.6	29.3	121.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.4%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	102.2	112.2	104.0
season	15.5	15.1		99.0	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		98.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	19.9	14.7	15.6	16.4
CHI	15.4	16.1	16.0	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	5	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	30.0	15.6	14.41	11.8	15.6	-3.85
Primoz Brezec	62	61	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-10	12	15.3	18.6	-3.28	16.0	14.2	1.81
Gerald Wallace	60	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.2	18.6	-3.33	15.8	14.8	1.00
Melvin Ely	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-11	14	14.3	17.2	-2.85	15.8	15.3	0.53
Bernard Robinson	16	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	12.3	17.3	-4.94	15.5	15.4	0.12
Keith Bogans	26	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	1	-10	15.7	16.7	-1.02	14.3	15.8	-1.57
Kareem Rush	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-9	10	16.7	15.7	1.02	15.8	14.3	1.57
Jason Hart	75	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	17.3	12.3	4.94	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Jason Kapono	26	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	0	-8	16.4	16.4	-0.00	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Emeka Okafor	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	6	-20	17.2	14.3	2.85	15.5	15.3	0.14
Jamal Sampson	29	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	18.6	15.3	3.28	14.2	16.0	-1.81

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	45	45	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-5	18	15.6	15.3	0.33	15.0	17.8	-2.83
Tyson Chandler	49	50	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-3	14	15.4	15.4	-0.01	15.4	17.6	-2.19
Jannero Pargo	26	26	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-2	12	14.2	15.9	-1.75	14.6	17.1	-2.48
Eric Piatkowski	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	0	8	14.6	16.4	-1.87	16.9	15.8	1.08
Andres Nocioni	43	43	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	0	8	15.6	15.3	0.24	18.1	14.8	3.28
Adrian Griffin	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	6	-4	13.9	15.8	-1.90	12.1	17.3	-5.24
Ben Gordon	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	16.6	15.2	1.43	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Antonio Davis	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	8	-8	15.7	15.2	0.57	17.6	15.4	2.19
Kirk Hinrich	47	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	16.0	14.8	1.19	17.6	15.0	2.67
Chris Duhon	45	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	11	-14	16.1	14.8	1.36	15.7	17.1	-1.35
Eddy Curry	45	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	13	-18	15.3	15.6	-0.33	17.8	15.0	2.83
Luol Deng	32	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	13	-18	15.7	15.3	0.35	16.2	16.5	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.9%
WAS 110, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NYK 88, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%