NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	6.1 [635]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +22.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	1.1 [607]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): -24.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	12	69%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	68%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	3	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	16	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	19	57%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	17	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.06
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	0.00	13	39%	-0.10	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	32.2	15.7	23.4	2.6	36.2	135.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +13.0%

MIN +10.7%

MIN +0.0%

MIN +24.6%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.5	103.4	93.3	104.0
season	15.8	15.8		106.2	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.4	14.7	19.0	15.5	17.1
POR	14.9	15.9	13.7	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	61	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	0	9	16.7	17.9	-1.19	15.8	14.1	1.66
Eddie Griffin	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-1	11	16.5	17.8	-1.37	15.8	14.7	1.06
Fred Hoiberg	31	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	15.1	18.1	-2.99	15.5	15.2	0.31
Wally Szczerbiak	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	4	1	16.7	17.5	-0.82	15.7	14.7	1.05
Latrell Sprewell	41	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-3	15	16.6	17.5	-0.96	15.0	15.5	-0.44
John Thomas	12	13	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	5	-1	13.3	17.7	-4.33	17.8	14.9	2.91
Kevin Garnett	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	17.4	15.5	1.92	14.6	18.5	-3.92
Ervin Johnson	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	18.7	15.9	2.78	15.0	15.5	-0.43
Anthony Carter	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	9	-9	17.9	16.7	1.19	14.1	15.8	-1.66
Trenton Hassell	63	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	16	-23	18.5	13.7	4.78	15.0	15.8	-0.77

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Thomas	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-11	13	15.8	15.2	0.55	12.9	17.5	-4.66
Richie Frahm	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	22.0	15.2	6.80	3.0	17.2	-14.24
Sebastian Telfair	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	18.7	15.1	3.63	11.4	17.4	-6.02
Derek Anderson	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	15.4	15.3	0.09	13.6	17.7	-4.16
Joel Przybilla	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.03	18.5	15.2	3.31
Travis Outlaw	13	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	0	-9	15.2	15.3	-0.15	11.2	18.0	-6.83
Darius Miles	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	15.7	14.8	0.88	16.4	17.8	-1.37
Ruben Patterson	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-7	5	15.3	15.4	-0.13	17.5	10.0	7.50
Nick Van Exel	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	15.1	17.1	-2.02	17.7	11.1	6.54
Theo Ratliff	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	15.2	15.5	-0.36	17.8	15.1	2.69
Damon Stoudamire	78	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	15.3	15.5	-0.20	17.5	14.4	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.04,0.15,0.08,0	93.1%
SEA 95, POR 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.9%
MIN 90, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.6%