inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 101 Excitement2.9 [1229] MVPJiri Welsch (BOS): +7.4%
Boston Celtics 119 Comeback1.0 [1254] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -5.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03767%0.053-0.04450%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.021268%0.015-0.01450%-0.00
Kelvin Cato0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04850%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Mario Kasun0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00464%0.011-0.023100%0.01
Stacey Augmon-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02956%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Steve Francis-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.021555%-0.003-0.04367%-0.01
Grant Hill-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.001347%-0.022-0.04683%-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.150.00-0.10925%-0.052-0.016100%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.00-0.06963%0.072-0.001100%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.050.01-0.091350%0.063-0.024100%0.02
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.067100%0.033-0.001100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.021158%0.0300.004100%-0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.01-0.081143%0.033-0.0210%-0.01
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03530%0.0100.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.100.00-0.101447%0.043-0.031070%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.00450%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01956%0.033-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041259%0.012-0.033100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.628.516.629.21.726.4130.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.5%
BOS +2.6%
BOS +11.7%
BOS +6.4%
BOS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game13.513.915.597.1112.3104.0
season14.314.4102.9104.7
opponent16.015.5104.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.614.914.310.513.5
BOS13.712.313.915.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Kasun560.00-0.500.500.000-181811.613.6-2.0514.313.80.48
DeShawn Stevenson1415-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-181813.413.6-0.2213.014.0-1.02
Jameer Nelson6263-0.06-0.440.37-0.215-232812.215.6-3.4314.413.21.20
Kelvin Cato4039-0.10-0.400.29-0.100-181813.213.7-0.4813.214.3-1.02
Hedo Turkoglu5356-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-232813.014.1-1.0413.714.1-0.46
Pat Garrity1416-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-7-414.913.31.5111.614.3-2.73
Grant Hill8383-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-12613.314.5-1.1614.412.02.45
Tony Battie6162-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-11413.913.00.9314.413.21.23
Dwight Howard6970-0.36-0.14-0.220.26-213-2414.012.71.3013.913.90.02
Steve Francis5757-0.45-0.05-0.410.37-2810-3814.912.02.9013.014.9-1.82
Stacey Augmon6263-0.530.03-0.570.26-279-3613.713.30.4014.313.31.01

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jiri Welsch65660.470.030.45-0.1421-32414.113.50.5614.012.71.28
Marcus Banks41390.290.210.070.08711-413.614.0-0.4013.113.8-0.67
Mark Blount53520.280.220.05-0.05117414.213.60.5814.412.71.79
Kendrick Perkins23220.270.230.03-0.11135811.914.4-2.5615.713.02.71
Tony Allen50470.260.240.030.06711-413.714.0-0.3013.213.8-0.61
Raef LaFrentz66640.260.240.01-0.0199014.013.60.4513.912.90.97
Paul Pierce67680.230.27-0.04-0.0399013.913.9-0.0713.713.30.33
Gary Payton66650.230.27-0.04-0.09117413.913.80.1613.813.10.67
Ricky Davis61590.210.29-0.070.07513-813.814.0-0.2912.315.2-2.87
Al Jefferson38380.000.50-0.500.09-321-2414.613.51.1811.814.6-2.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 86, NOK 1020.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
PHI 106, WAS 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CHI 80, SAC 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%