NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	5.3 [794]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.9%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	1.1 [1128]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -7.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	82%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
John Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	30	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	81%	0.19	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	20	53%	0.08	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	77%	0.08	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	11	73%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.0	32.4	19.6	31.3	2.6	38.0	154.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.0%

SAS +15.3%

SAS +17.9%

IND -3.2%

SAS +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	17.2	15.5	111.4	127.6	104.0
season	16.8	16.3		101.9	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	14.1	15.8	16.9	15.7
SAS	14.1	20.2	17.7	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	21	19	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-22	31	15.2	15.8	-0.58	18.2	17.0	1.24
Eddie Gill	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-12	11	11.3	15.8	-4.50	9.3	17.5	-8.19
John Edwards	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	16.5	15.7	0.84	11.5	17.4	-5.88
James Jones	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	16.5	15.7	0.84	11.5	17.4	-5.88
Michael Curry	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-8	3	15.3	15.9	-0.55	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Anthony Johnson	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-8	3	15.0	16.0	-0.97	17.4	17.2	0.26
David Harrison	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	14.4	16.1	-1.69	18.7	16.7	2.08
Jeff Foster	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-9	5	16.3	14.7	1.53	17.6	16.6	0.97
Jamaal Tinsley	79	77	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-12	11	15.8	14.7	1.13	17.6	14.7	2.87
Fred Jones	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-7	1	15.3	16.4	-1.04	17.4	17.0	0.41
Reggie Miller	67	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.06	-20	7	-27	16.2	13.9	2.33	17.1	17.6	-0.44
Jermaine O'Neal	74	74	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.06	-24	11	-35	15.9	14.3	1.66	16.6	21.2	-4.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-5	23	17.3	17.2	0.08	15.7	15.6	0.08
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-1	15	17.1	17.8	-0.79	16.1	14.3	1.77
Tony Parker	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	3	7	16.6	19.8	-3.27	15.4	16.7	-1.24
Manu Ginobili	53	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	16.0	19.2	-3.27	16.3	14.5	1.81
Beno Udrih	30	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	9	-5	18.0	16.8	1.21	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Malik Rose	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	17.5	17.2	0.30	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Rasho Nesterovic	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	6	1	17.2	17.3	-0.08	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Brent Barry	26	26	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	11	-9	19.6	16.2	3.39	16.2	15.5	0.72
Robert Horry	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	17.4	17.0	0.40	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	12	-11	11.5	17.4	-5.88	16.5	15.7	0.84
Devin Brown	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	20	-27	19.7	16.7	3.00	14.6	15.9	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
UTA 92, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.4%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%