NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	4.4 [957]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +20.5%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	1.4 [1001]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -12.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	13	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	47%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	30	48%	-0.02	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.00	0.05	10	108%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	6	85%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	68%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	22	45%	-0.00	4	-0.07	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.4	16.0	27.1	2.4	29.5	129.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +45.9%

LAL -0.3%

LAL -6.8%

DAL +7.5%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.1	15.5	111.8	126.9	104.0
season	15.7	14.9		105.8	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	16.2	19.0	19.5	16.9
DAL	12.1	12.6	14.5	18.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-16	18	16.6	16.9	-0.36	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Slava Medvedenko	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-15	16	14.7	17.2	-2.53	14.4	14.1	0.38
Tierre Brown	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-13	12	17.0	16.8	0.13	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Brian Grant	9	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-3	-8	15.4	17.0	-1.57	9.6	14.7	-5.05
Jumaine Jones	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-11	8	17.3	16.4	0.84	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Chris Mihm	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	17.1	16.4	0.75	16.0	10.9	5.12
Caron Butler	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-1	-12	16.7	17.2	-0.41	14.2	14.0	0.20
Chucky Atkins	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-1	-12	16.8	17.0	-0.13	14.2	14.0	0.20
Lamar Odom	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-2	-10	17.2	15.8	1.45	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Kobe Bryant	92	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	16.8	24.0	-7.22	14.0	26.0	-12.02

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-2	18	14.0	14.5	-0.49	17.0	16.4	0.58
Josh Howard	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	1	12	13.7	15.9	-2.21	16.6	17.9	-1.34
Erick Dampier	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	2	10	15.3	8.6	6.68	17.0	16.2	0.84
Jerry Stackhouse	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	-1	16	11.3	16.8	-5.50	17.0	16.7	0.28
Michael Finley	80	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	10	-6	15.0	8.5	6.47	17.2	14.7	2.42
Jason Terry	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	5	4	15.5	11.2	4.32	16.0	18.6	-2.60
Devin Harris	31	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	9	-4	11.2	15.5	-4.32	18.6	16.0	2.60
Alan Henderson	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	18	-22	14.1	14.1	-0.06	15.2	17.3	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 99, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 81, NYK 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%